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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 29 November 22
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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