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Wednesday, 24 November 21
WHY THIS MINING ANALYST IS UPBEAT ON THE IRON ORE PRICE FORECAST - MOTLEY FOOL
The Motley FoolIn many ways, 2021 can be called the year of the iron ore price. Much of the talk of the ASX town this year has revolved around this key economic metric driving the Australian economy. As we all know, mining plays a major role in our economic machine. Movements in the iron ore price, in particular, can have far-reaching consequences on everything from our exchange rate to the budgets our governments run.
 
So it was with much excitement that a record high iron ore price that reached more than US$200 a tonne earlier this year was received. That sent the share prices of the ASX’s biggest iron miners like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) to new all-time highs just a few months ago.
 
But equally momentous was the subsequent collapse the iron ore price has suffered through in the months since. The ‘red dirt’ was fetching as high as US$220 a tonne just a few months ago. But, today, it is asking just US$92.60 a tonne.
 
So if you were wondering why the Fortescue share price has now lost roughly 40% since late July, that’s probably a pretty good explanation.
 
As such, many investors might be wondering ‘where to from here?’ and hoping for an iron ore price forecast.
 
Ellison gives iron ore price forecast
Chriss Ellison is the executive chair of Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN), a mining and services company that has done exceptionally well over the past year (up around 35.5%). So it goes without saying that this is a man to get a decent iron ore price forecast from, if there is such a thing.
 
According to recent reporting in the Australian Financial Review (AFR), Mr Ellison is pushing ahead with his company’s expansion plans for iron ore, despite the recent price collapse. Ellison reportedly is expecting the iron ore price to “consolidate around US$100 a tonne”. Despite the distance between that price and the highs we saw earlier this year, this would still mean “handy margins” for a smaller player like Mineral Resources.
 
Ellison isn’t the only one looking at US$100 iron ore. The report also quotes Glyn Lawcock, of Barranjoey Capital Partners. Mr Lawcock is expecting the iron ore price to average “above US$100” in 2022. He points to what he sees as the potential for higher Chinese steel output once the 2022 Winter Olympics finish in Beijing next year.
 
So, if these experts are to be believed, the days of US$200-plus iron ore are over, at least for now. But they also clearly aren’t of the opinion that there isn’t still money to be made from the iron ore price.
 
Should you invest $1,000 in Mineral Resources right now?
Before you consider Mineral Resources, you’ll want to hear this.
 
Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Mineral Resources wasn’t one of them.
 
The online investing service he’s run for nearly a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.
Source: Motley Fool


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Recent News

Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL FIRMS SEE SHARE PRICES SURGE MONDAY, AFTER GOVERNMENT READJUSTS CONTRACT PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Share prices of China’s coal enterprises jumped on Monday on the A-share market following a nationwide adjustment to annual thermal coal pric ...


Monday, 06 December 21
CHINA SETS 2022 ANNUAL THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 700 YUAN/T - MEDIA: REUTERS
China’s top economic planner has proposed to set annual thermal coal prices for 2022 at between 550 yuan and 850 yuan ($86-$133) per tonne, a ...


Thursday, 02 December 21
BUMI RECORDED US$ 666.18 MILLION AS REVENUE IN THE 3RD QUARTER, UP 13.31% YOY
PT Bumi Resources Tbk and its subsidiaries have recorded a surge in revenue in the third quarter of 2021. BUMI has recorded US$ 666.18 million as r ...


Thursday, 02 December 21
CHINA'S COAL CRUNCH IS OVER, BUT PRICES ARE STILL TOO HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal crisis has largely been resolved with gains in both production and stockpiles sufficient to ensure power supplies over winter. ...


Wednesday, 01 December 21
2022 OUTLOOK: INDONESIAN COAL MINING - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has a neutral outlook on the Indonesian coal sector for 2022.    Earnings generation should slow down as selling pr ...


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