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Friday, 29 October 21
APAC THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO REMAIN TIGHT AS WINTER LOOMS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch RatingsAPAC thermal coal prices have surged, hitting historically high levels. The benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal reached USD228/tonne in mid-October, roughly triple the price from December. Fitch Ratings says in a new report that the high prices are largely driven by tight supply across the region and low inventory levels in China and India, along with strong natural gas prices as an alternative energy source. Major Asian countries' imports increased by 1.5% yoy in 8M21, although China's imports declined by 3.7% yoy in 9M21 with metallurgical coal more affected than thermal.
 
China's benchmark Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg coal price has tripled so far this year, reaching around CNY2,300/tonne in mid-October and gaining over 100% since only September. Domestic production marginally picked up 1.2% qoq in 3Q21 as August-September output rebounded to 33.5 million tonnes (mt) per month from 31.4mt in July. Demand has remained strong, too. Thermal power generation rose by 11.9% in 9M21 on the economic recovery, strong exports and lack of growth in hydropower.
 
China has raised the production quota of 153 mines since September. These mines can contribute an incremental 50mt or more in 4Q21. Production increased above 11.60mt on 18 October, the highest level this year, from an average 11.14mt a day in September. Still, supply could remain tight in 4Q21, as daily production in November-December could be little more than 1.0mt higher than September from past experience. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has also flagged its intention to intervene on prices.


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Wednesday, 24 November 21
WHY THIS MINING ANALYST IS UPBEAT ON THE IRON ORE PRICE FORECAST - MOTLEY FOOL
In many ways, 2021 can be called the year of the iron ore price. Much of the talk of the ASX town this year has revolved around this key economic m ...


Wednesday, 24 November 21
PRICE OF CHINA’S COAL FUTURE DROPS BY 60% AS NATIONWIDE DAILY OUTPUT REACHES OVER 12 MILLION TONS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s daily coal output has now stabilized after reaching over 12 million tons and the price of coal futures has declined to 800 yuan ($125 ...


Friday, 19 November 21
CHINA: COAL SUPPLIES TO STABILIZE FOR COMING COLD SEASON
China is capable of ensuring stable coal supplies this winter and next spring with the increase in coal production and the rising stockpiles at pow ...


Wednesday, 17 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another declining week for the dry bulk market and evidently, we are seeing asset values gradually losing momentum as well. Following a ...


Tuesday, 16 November 21
EARNINGS RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN COAL TO CONTINUE THROUGH 2021, BUT SLOW IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
The recovery in the operating and financial performance of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors is likely to slow in 2022, but coal prices s ...


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