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Tuesday, 26 October 21
THERE IS PLENTY OF COAL AND GAS IN THE WORLD BUT A VOLATILE MARKET IS NOBODY'S FRIEND - IEEFA
IEEFAGas will be winding its way out of the energy system
 
Gas prices are continuing to surge around the world. The cost of gas is at unprecedented levels and global markets are buckling under the strain. Many countries are heavily reliant on imports of gas and high spot prices are making supplies unaffordable.
 
There is plenty of coal and gas in the world but current market volatility is crimping demand.
 
Gas prices haven’t gone up a little bit – they have multiplied. The increased volatility in gas prices globally is a feature that’s going to stay. There are going to be some extremely high prices and also some extremely low prices. That’s because we’re going through a total energy disruption at the moment, and with that, we’re seeing climate change responses.
 
Countries such as Japan have said that by 2030, they’re going to more than halve their use of LNG in their power sector. That means they will be putting supply effectively back into the market because they won’t be taking all their contracted gas.
 
On the other hand, there is enormous supply coming out of Qatar. It is looking to increase its LNG production by 64% by 2027. That’s a massive amount of LNG that will be coming onto the market looking for a home.
 
In January 2021, an IEEFA report noted that due to what was happening in the U.S., we were likely to see much higher prices this year, with prices forecast to double or even triple. That has come to pass. In the coming years we are likely to see increased volatility in prices as supply and demand struggle to find a balance.
 
Australia’s major clients are now looking at gas as a fuel exiting the energy system. Over time, we’re going to see them wind their way out of LNG. LNG will still form a niche fuel in terms of the need for it in manufacturing. However, gas will definitely go out of household usage in the short term and will be used less for electricity generation.
 
Australia has to look forward at energy sources of the future, not look backwards at energy sources of the past. Unfortunately, the country has chosen to look backwards and put all of its eggs in the ‘gas-fired recovery’ at the very time its customers are saying they don’t want the product.
 
This extract is from an interview IEEFA’s Bruce Robertson did with ABC’s Linda Mottram.
Source: IEEFA


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Monday, 01 November 21
COAL PRICES HAVE FURTHER ROOM TO DROP: TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner said coal prices have further room to drop on Friday, as the most traded coal futures dropped to below 1,000 yua ...


Saturday, 30 October 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES SEE BIGGEST WEEKLY FALL IN MORE THAN 5 YEARS - REUTERS
China’s coal futures prices saw their biggest fall in more than five years after the powerful state planner said there is still room to adjus ...


Saturday, 30 October 21
G-20 LEADERS PREPARE STATEMENT TO STOP FUNDING FOREIGN COAL PLANTS - BLOOMBERG
Leaders of the Group of 20 wealthy economies are preparing to pledge to stop funding foreign coal-fired plants, but are still wrangling over climat ...


Friday, 29 October 21
APAC THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO REMAIN TIGHT AS WINTER LOOMS - FITCH RATINGS
APAC thermal coal prices have surged, hitting historically high levels. The benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal reached USD228/tonne in mid ...


Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars   Change in Canadian policy could have major implications ...


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