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Wednesday, 20 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 IMO 2020, Ballast Water Treatment regulations, Green Recycling, GHG emissions, EEXI, CII, ETS, Fit for 55, Carbon price/levy, the Poseidon Principles are just a handful pieces of evidence that the environmental regulations are not only knocking on the door, but are already inside the shipping house and with the intention to stay for good.
Ship operators and managers, charterers, ship financiers must take good consideration of all the above before making any operational and investment decision; including placing an order for a new-building vessel, which has become the most complex decision to make, given all the new regulations and technologies coming up.
In this radically changing environment, ship financiers need to assist the industry to bear the burden of the enormous cost of the new regulations/technologies and in general the setting up of the new greener landscape. So far, and while claiming that they will incentivize international shipping’s decarbonization, the focus in the immediate future is to finance solely modern/ecofriendly vessels, while older vessels’ access to financing which would need it the most for their environmentally upgrade is constrained by leading banks and left to alternative financing. This bifurcation in lending constitutes an obstacle for ships that don’t already have green credentials to take significant investment steps towards the energy transition requirements.
Obviously, banks are afraid of being left with portfolios of assets that in 3-4 years’ time have a minimum value (being non green assets). On top of this, there is the concern that a two-tier assets market might develop when the new regulations kick in. The one tier being this of the greener ships and the second one being the tier with the older, non-eco ones that may be employed at a discount. This places another risk factor for the banks. The risk of their financing projects not being profitable anymore. In this context, older ships seem to be left with the operational choice of reducing engine power and thus lower speeds as a primary measure to be “emissions compliant”. While the choice split on the speed level between the shipowner and the charterer will largely depend on the prevailing freight market structure i.e. voyages or timecharters that older vessels will be opted to be deployed under, the sure thing is that they will all try to take advantage of it and negotiate the fixing rates.
Will this be the case? Will we have another scrubber – non scrubber dilemma going forward? Will the new regulations, emissions mitigation costs via carbon prices / potential fuel levies, limited financing options (or expensive options through alternative financing) and lesser charter rates increase scrapping considerations in 2-3 years time, given that approx. 23% of the combined bulk tankers and containers fleet is above 15 years of age? Does the market have the luxury of losing even a fraction of this via scrapping considering the freight market upcycle across most shipping sectors leads to increased deadweight requirements? Let’s just have a look at what’s happening nowadays due to elevated port congestion, which has tied up a significant share of the dry bulk and containers fleet creating market inefficiencies that have exercised strong upward pressures on freight rates with container rates at record high levels and dry bulk freight rates at the highest in 13 years.
Therefore, a further fleet supply squeeze creates good chances that younger vessels will benefit from a charter premium compared to their older peers. However, this that does not mean that older vessels will become obsolete. This is something that the banks need to realise and start supporting their clients when it comes to ‘’older’’ vessels’ financings. It goes without saying that the whole shipping value chain needs to adjust to the new greener environment regime. The banks need to support this new and highly expensive venture of their clients not just by not financing older vessels, but also providing real, monetary incentives that will have tangible and meaningful effect to their daily operating costs.
By George Laios,
Deputy CEO
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
SE ASIA POWER DEMAND TO RISE AS STATE SUPPORT MITIGATES COVID-19 IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
Electricity demand in south-east Asia is likely to increase in 2021, following slow growth or contraction in 2020, thanks to state support that has ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
FITCH RATINGS INCREASES MOST GLOBAL METALS AND MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has increased most metals and mining price assumptions, particularly those that benefit from increased longer-term demand due to glob ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICE DROPS IN MID-NOVEMBER AMID GOVERNMENT’S SWEEPING MEASURES - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s coal prices have dropped significantly in mid-November compared with the beginning of the month, with the price of coking coal and co ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Inflation is the word that has dominated the meetings of foreign leaders and finance ministers in recent weeks, as rising energy costs, supply chai ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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