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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 25 October 21
A QUESTION OF POSSESSION - THE BALTIC EXCHANGE
Possession and tangibility are closely related concepts long established under English law. Yet a change to these concepts is around the corner. Th ...
Monday, 25 October 21
CHINA VOWS TO SEVERELY PUNISH MARKET VIOLATIONS AMID LOW COAL FUTURES PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Domestic coal futures had plunged for three consecutive trading days after the government vowed to crack down on soaring prices, and China’s ...
Monday, 25 October 21
FARMERS MAY JOIN THE COAL COMMODITY MARKET TO REDUCE RISKS - GLOBAL TIMES
A recent trip to by the Global Times to East China’s Shandong Province to get a glimpse of China’s coal supply chain revealed a surpris ...
Monday, 25 October 21
CHINA COAL PRICES MARK WORST WEEK SINCE MAY ON GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures plunged on Friday and turned in their worst week in five months, following Beijing’s strongest interventio ...
Friday, 22 October 21
THE BIG PICTURE: ENERGY MARKETS - BREAK WAVE ADVISORS
The shipping markets have been pulled further into wild markets of coal and other energy sources. Given how nebulous this sector is, it’s alw ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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