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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 16 November 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL USE FOR POWER GENERATION SET TO RISE 3% - REUTERS
Indonesia’s coal consumption for power generation is likely to rise by 3.1% next year compared to 2021, the head of the country’s state ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
CHINA'S MONTHLY COAL OUTPUT RISES TO HIGHEST SINCE MARCH 2015 - REUTERS
China’s October coal output rose to the highest since at least March 2015, after Beijing approved a raft of coal mine expansions to tame reco ...
Friday, 12 November 21
RUSSIA-INDIA COKING COAL DEAL UNLIKELY TO IMPACT PANAMAX SHIPPING - DREWRY
Russia and India have recently entered into an agreement whereby Russia will supply up to 40 million tonnes of coking coal to India every year. Dre ...
Friday, 12 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
Friday, 12 November 21
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE TOPS $215 A TON; THE HIGHEST COAL PRICE IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference in a steep climb for most of second half of 2021 as it reached a pinnacle of $215.01 in November 2021 ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
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