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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 04 July 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SLIGHTLY DOWN IN JULY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for July delivery drops 1.52 per cent month on month.
The Indonesian Coal Price Refere ...
Sunday, 03 July 22
CHINESE VICE PREMIER STRESSES CLEAN, EFFICIENT USE OF COAL - XINHUA
Chinese Vice Premier Han Zheng has stressed efforts to promote the clean and efficient use of coal, and pursue green, low-carbon and high-quality d ...
Sunday, 03 July 22
SOVEREIGN SECTOR OUTLOOK REVISED TO NEUTRAL ON UKRAINE WAR IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
The deterioration in global sovereign credit conditions this year relative to our expectations at end-2021 has caused Fitch Ratings to change its g ...
Saturday, 02 July 22
GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL EXPORTS IN 2021 INCREASED BY 4.4% Y-O-Y TO 1147 MLN TONNES - BANCHERO COSTA
In the full 12 months of 2021, global seaborne coal exports increased by +4.4% y-o-y to 1147 mln tonnes, from 1099 mln tonnes in 2020, according to ...
Friday, 01 July 22
INDIA'S TOP CEMENT MAKER PAYING FOR RUSSIAN COAL IN CHINESE YUAN - REUTERS
India’s biggest cement producer, UltraTech Cement ULTC.NS, is importing a cargo of Russian coal and paying using Chinese yuan, according to a ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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