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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 18 March 23
HEDGE TO OFFSET LNG VOLATILITY, TRADERS TOLD - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A shift in imports from Asia to Europe led to significant volatility in liquefied natural gas shipping last year, prompting industry experts to urg ...
Friday, 17 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP AROUND 2.17% IN MARCH 2023
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up around 2.17% in March 2023.
According to the new HBA regulation No. 41.K/MB.0 ...
Saturday, 11 March 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Uncertainty over the recovery of Chinese demand, demand destruction in Europe, as well as weather conditions will pivot the LNG market this summer. ...
Wednesday, 08 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE FORMULA HAS OFFICIALLY CHANGED
Indonesian Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources has officially changed the guideline for determining the benchmark price for the sale of coal c ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA'S SEABORNE CRUDE OIL IMPORTS IN 2022 INCREASED BY 11.5% YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
2022 has turned out to be a very positive year for crude oil trade, despite the surging oil prices and risks of economic recession, Banchero Costa ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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