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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more ...
Friday, 26 July 24
FUELEU MARITME IS COMING. IS YOUR CHARTERPARTY READY? - GARD
With less than six months to implementation of FuelEU Maritime in EU and EEA trades, there has been little published advice regarding how to alloca ...
Thursday, 04 July 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 14% IN JUNE - PTI
The country’s coal production rose by 14.49% to 84.63 million tonne (MT) in June. The country’s coal output was 73.92 MT in June last f ...
Tuesday, 02 July 24
NTPC CAPTIVE COAL OUTPUT GROWS 15% IN Q1; DESPATCH RISES 17%
State-owned NTPC on Monday reported a 15 per cent year-on-year increase in the production of coal from captives mines to 9.862 metric million tonne ...
Friday, 28 June 24
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 400,000 MT OF MINIMUM 4000 NCV COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for total 400,000 MT of Low Calorific Value Coal for 5 years starting from July 2024 until ...
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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