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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 14 June 20
INDONESIAN COAL WAS STILL IN DEMAND; A 52,000-DWT SUPRAMAX FIXING DELIVERY CJK FOR A ROUND VOYAGE VIA INDONESIA AT $6,250 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market made new highs for the year this week after strong iron ore demand to the far east continued to develop in the mar ...
Friday, 12 June 20
CHINA CURBS COAL IMPORTS AFTER 5 MONTHS OF RECORD INFLOWS - SOURCES: REUTERS
China has stepped up customs checks for coal imports, leading to lengthy processing delays at ports, four sources familiar with the matter said, as ...
Friday, 12 June 20
COAL INDIA LIMITED SET FOR MARKETING DRIVE TO CREATE DEMAND - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
State-run miner Coal India (CIL), which is primarily focused on supplying coal to the power sector, is now reorienting its marketing to create dema ...
Friday, 12 June 20
MOODY'S REVISES BRENT OIL PRICE OUTLOOK TO $35/BARREL IN 2020 - TASS
Low oil prices are likely to exert the highest pressure on Iraq, Oman and Kuwait due to the limited space for the fiscal policy pursuit and higher ...
Thursday, 11 June 20
JAN-MAY, INDONESIA SHIPPED 175.15 MILLION TONS OF COAL TO ITS OVERSEAS BUYERS
Indonesia's coal production for the first 5 months of this year have reached 228 million tons. January – May 2020, Indonesia shipped US$ ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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