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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 13 November 20
SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE ON EBITDA GROWTH, IMPROVING SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE - MOODY’S
Outlook revised to stable from negative.
The global shipping industry is on course to perform better overall than we had previously ex ...
Friday, 13 November 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Monday, 09 November 20
INDONESIA MAY CUT BIODIESEL USE TARGET AS SUBSIDY FUND DEPLETES - FITCH
The Indonesian government may rein in its push to increase use of biodiesel as it now comes at higher cost following a fall in crude oil prices and ...
Monday, 09 November 20
SOUTH AFRICA: COAL MARKET CONDITIONS HAVE ' DETERIORATED MATERIALLY' - IEEFA
The Asian seaborne thermal coal pool is drying out
Resource Generation Ltd’s proposed but long delayed Boikarabelo coal mine i ...
Friday, 06 November 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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