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Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed their upward trend since August 20th.
Brent futures have been trading higher over the past couple of weeks, with hurricane Ida idling US Gulf oil production and providing support. In addition, traders saw a buying opportunity following the OSP price cuts into Asian refineries. Positive news on Covid developments and also Chinese data suggesting crude oil inventories stand at the lowest level since June 2020 are also interpreted as bullish for oil consumption and economic momentum ahead.
Numerous countries in Asia Pacific are easing certain Covid-19 restrictions, such as Thailand, New Zealand and Hong Kong, while the South African variant slowed in August according to scientists, all supporting oil demand expectations. Generally, Europe has emerged as a “center of strength” for road fuels demand as the economies opened during the summer period, where people have naturally used more road transportation vs air during the travel season. Nevertheless, according to real time traffic data, European road fuels demand dropped by around 5% or 3-400,000 bpd m/m in August that had a slow start, from the recent peak in July. However, recent news are positive for Brent as European traffic has been picking up by two percent over the past two weeks. Overall, global road traffic congestion levels continue to pick up over the past two weeks, a trend that has emerged since mid-August. Robust gasoline demand and low inventories in both sides of the Atlantic Ocean also lend support to light-sweet crude benchmarks such as Brent.
Additionally, we have noted that the Chinese crude imports rose to a five-month high of 10.5 million bpd in August, driven by state backed oil refineries. The question is whether this trend in China’s crude imports will remain upwards in the coming months. That is a difficult question to answer, as it also depends on government policies on quotas and use of strategic reserves, as per analysts’ consensus.
The Asian market seems to have the potential for an increase in crude oil imports from Middle East as OPEC+ releases production, while US crude oil production is lagging behind along with refinery activity after the recent hit of Hurricane Ida. The hurricane Nicholas following this week is yet to show its effect, but overall it looks like the oil supply tightness in the West is exacerbating, which increases the call on OPEC+ to satisfy rising crude oil demand projected through the 4th quarter of the year.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 December 23
COAL MINERS GROUP EXPECTS INDONESIA’S 2023 COAL OUTPUT TO SURPASS TARGET - REUTERS
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) expects the country’s 2023 coal output to surpass the official target of 695 million metric ton ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL IMPORTS TO INDIA IN OCTOBER 2023 REACHED HIGHEST LEVELS IN NEARLY A YEAR AND A HALF - VESSELSVALUE, VESON NAUTICAL
In October, coal imports to India reached 13.8 mt in October 2023, according to Oceanbolt, a Veson Nautical solution, the highest level since May 2 ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL SHIPMENTS TO ADVANCED ECONOMIES DOWN 17% SO FAR IN 2023 - BIMCO
In the first ten months of 2023, coal shipments to advanced economies fell by 17% y/y, as demand for electricity declined and the share of electric ...
Friday, 24 November 23
INTELLIGENT COAL MINES CONTRIBUTE TO IMPROVING SAFETY STANDARDS - CHINA DAILY
Mechanization, automation and intelligent upgrades have contributed to improved safety in coal mines, though the level of development of intelligen ...
Friday, 24 November 23
WHY AUSTRALIA'S COAL MINES ARE GETTING BIGGER - IEEFA
Australia’s largest coal mines are getting larger. Mines in New South Wales (NSW) are ramping up production following the state’s recov ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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