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Thursday, 26 August 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 24th of August 2021, the Baltic Dry Index reached 4,201, a YTD high and the highest since May 2010.
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Cape 5TC daily average @ 51,472
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Kamsarmax 82 daily average @ 34,615
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Supramax 58 daily average @ 36,774
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Handysize 38 daily average @ 33,981
If at the beginning of the year 2021, around the period of Chinese Lunar Year, anyone would have predicted that by the middle of August during the peak of Northern Hemisphere summer, the market would have reached the above levels, everybody would laugh.
By the 4th of February 2021, the sub-Cape market had already spiked; the Panamax index was at 1,629 points and Supramax index at 1,139 points, with the first quarter of 2021 averaging well above Q42020 levels. The Capesize 5TC index averaged $17,054/day down -1.0% compared to Q42020, while the Panamax Tess 82 5TC index averaged $18,201 up +51.0% during the same period. Everyone at that time was surprised with the counter seasonal market rise driven by the smaller sizes, as well as the rise in asset values compared to September 2020 and commented that ships had gotten too expensive. Well, what can we say about the prices of today then?
In September 2020 a Panamax bc blt 2006 MV ELENA II with surveys due in q1 2021 had been concluded at low 8s. For comparison, in February MV AJAX got usd low 10s with surveys due promptly. As of the end of July, the 2007 blt MV CANEA got sold at rgn usd 17.7m.
We see similar asset value increases also in 2012 blt units with MV CORAL AMBER 78k dwt BWTS fttd getting mid-high 14s in December and sister ship CORAL AMETHYST without BWTS getting as usd 16/low 16s by the end of January. As of end of June, an exact sister ship 2013blt MV KAGARA got sold at usd 22m and a 2014blt MV ORIENT GENESIS at 23m. Today these 2 ships would expect to get more.
For younger tonnage with an electronic engine built in Japan, we have not seen much activity, last concluded sale being in May, MV IOANNA L built 2017 Tsunesishi Zhoushan at about 29m, but clearly at same levels a potential buyer cannot do repeat deal and generally the supply of such modern ships in the market has been limited for some time amid sellers holding for much better numbers and/or taking advantage of the lucrative daily earnings.
Even for the older units of about 20 years of age, owners now asking levels of about usd 12m or more for 2000/2001blt vessels. The calculations shipowners are making on such vessels is quite simple: They factor in how much the ship will earn basis today’s rates for one year i.e. about USD 7,5m then they add on top the demo value, about USD 5m. So the price comes in excess of USD12m. Similar asset value levels were observed in mid-2010, however it could also be a De Ja Vu of the year 2004, at the beginning of the previous boom, when 20 years old Panamaxes were fetching similar prices.
Let’s see how long the current boom will last. We all hope that It will last for long.
By Costas Hardalis,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 October 21
COAL ABANDONMENT IN POWER GENERATION PROMOTED GAS DEMAND GROWTH IN EUROPE - TOP MANAGER: TASS
Accelerated abandonment of coal in power generation and the overall recovery of economic activity facilitated gas demand growth in Europe and led t ...
Saturday, 09 October 21
CHINA POWER CUTS: COAL MINERS ORDERED TO BOOST OUTPUT, SAY REPORTS - BBC
Beijing has reportedly ordered China’s coal mines to boost output as an energy shortage across the country has seen millions of homes and bus ...
Friday, 08 October 21
SEPTEMBER CRUDE OIL TANKER DEMOLISHING HITS 39-MONTHS HIGH AT 1.9M DWT - PETER SAND
Has the lid finally come off for crude oil tanker demolition in 2021? If judged by the 1.9m DWT of capacity that was removed in September, the answ ...
Friday, 08 October 21
COAL SHORTAGE MAY LEAD TO RISE IN STEEL PRICES IN COMING MONTHS: JSPL MD - PTI
Steel prices are expected to increase in the coming months as companies are buying coal at three times the rates a month ago, said a top industry e ...
Wednesday, 06 October 21
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE: ANOTHER MONTH, ANOTHER RALLY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference in a steep climb for most of second and third quarters of 2021 as it reached a pinnacle of $161.63 Oc ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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