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Thursday, 26 August 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 24th of August 2021, the Baltic Dry Index reached 4,201, a YTD high and the highest since May 2010.
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Cape 5TC daily average @ 51,472
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Kamsarmax 82 daily average @ 34,615
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Supramax 58 daily average @ 36,774
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Handysize 38 daily average @ 33,981
If at the beginning of the year 2021, around the period of Chinese Lunar Year, anyone would have predicted that by the middle of August during the peak of Northern Hemisphere summer, the market would have reached the above levels, everybody would laugh.
By the 4th of February 2021, the sub-Cape market had already spiked; the Panamax index was at 1,629 points and Supramax index at 1,139 points, with the first quarter of 2021 averaging well above Q42020 levels. The Capesize 5TC index averaged $17,054/day down -1.0% compared to Q42020, while the Panamax Tess 82 5TC index averaged $18,201 up +51.0% during the same period. Everyone at that time was surprised with the counter seasonal market rise driven by the smaller sizes, as well as the rise in asset values compared to September 2020 and commented that ships had gotten too expensive. Well, what can we say about the prices of today then?
In September 2020 a Panamax bc blt 2006 MV ELENA II with surveys due in q1 2021 had been concluded at low 8s. For comparison, in February MV AJAX got usd low 10s with surveys due promptly. As of the end of July, the 2007 blt MV CANEA got sold at rgn usd 17.7m.
We see similar asset value increases also in 2012 blt units with MV CORAL AMBER 78k dwt BWTS fttd getting mid-high 14s in December and sister ship CORAL AMETHYST without BWTS getting as usd 16/low 16s by the end of January. As of end of June, an exact sister ship 2013blt MV KAGARA got sold at usd 22m and a 2014blt MV ORIENT GENESIS at 23m. Today these 2 ships would expect to get more.
For younger tonnage with an electronic engine built in Japan, we have not seen much activity, last concluded sale being in May, MV IOANNA L built 2017 Tsunesishi Zhoushan at about 29m, but clearly at same levels a potential buyer cannot do repeat deal and generally the supply of such modern ships in the market has been limited for some time amid sellers holding for much better numbers and/or taking advantage of the lucrative daily earnings.
Even for the older units of about 20 years of age, owners now asking levels of about usd 12m or more for 2000/2001blt vessels. The calculations shipowners are making on such vessels is quite simple: They factor in how much the ship will earn basis today’s rates for one year i.e. about USD 7,5m then they add on top the demo value, about USD 5m. So the price comes in excess of USD12m. Similar asset value levels were observed in mid-2010, however it could also be a De Ja Vu of the year 2004, at the beginning of the previous boom, when 20 years old Panamaxes were fetching similar prices.
Let’s see how long the current boom will last. We all hope that It will last for long.
By Costas Hardalis,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 04 October 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SURGE AGAIN TO RECORD HIGH
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference reached another record high in October as Russia's war in Ukraine continues to spark a surge in c ...
Sunday, 02 October 22
MISC STRENGTHENS ITS PARTNERSHIP WITH SEARIVER MARITIME
MISC Berhad (MISC) today announced that its subsidiaries Polaris LNG Three Pte. Ltd. and Polaris LNG Four Pte. Ltd. have secured long-term time cha ...
Thursday, 29 September 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
This week, focus turns to the 38th APPEC Conference, where leading professionals from the global oil industry will discuss the future key drivers o ...
Thursday, 29 September 22
HIGH COAL PRICES REMAIN A CONCERN FOR DOMESTIC NON-FERROUS METAL COMPANIES - ICRA
According to ICRA on Monday, the high price of coal will have a negative effect on the profitability of domestic non-ferrous metal companies that m ...
Tuesday, 27 September 22
14% INCREASE IN EUROPEAN COAL DEMAND TO BE SHORT-TERM TREND - WOOD MACKENZIE
European seaborne thermal coal demand is projected to increase 14% or 12 million metric tonnes (Mt) this year to 98 Mt as it grapples with the curr ...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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