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Thursday, 26 August 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 24th of August 2021, the Baltic Dry Index reached 4,201, a YTD high and the highest since May 2010.
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Cape 5TC daily average @ 51,472
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Kamsarmax 82 daily average @ 34,615
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Supramax 58 daily average @ 36,774
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Handysize 38 daily average @ 33,981
If at the beginning of the year 2021, around the period of Chinese Lunar Year, anyone would have predicted that by the middle of August during the peak of Northern Hemisphere summer, the market would have reached the above levels, everybody would laugh.
By the 4th of February 2021, the sub-Cape market had already spiked; the Panamax index was at 1,629 points and Supramax index at 1,139 points, with the first quarter of 2021 averaging well above Q42020 levels. The Capesize 5TC index averaged $17,054/day down -1.0% compared to Q42020, while the Panamax Tess 82 5TC index averaged $18,201 up +51.0% during the same period. Everyone at that time was surprised with the counter seasonal market rise driven by the smaller sizes, as well as the rise in asset values compared to September 2020 and commented that ships had gotten too expensive. Well, what can we say about the prices of today then?
In September 2020 a Panamax bc blt 2006 MV ELENA II with surveys due in q1 2021 had been concluded at low 8s. For comparison, in February MV AJAX got usd low 10s with surveys due promptly. As of the end of July, the 2007 blt MV CANEA got sold at rgn usd 17.7m.
We see similar asset value increases also in 2012 blt units with MV CORAL AMBER 78k dwt BWTS fttd getting mid-high 14s in December and sister ship CORAL AMETHYST without BWTS getting as usd 16/low 16s by the end of January. As of end of June, an exact sister ship 2013blt MV KAGARA got sold at usd 22m and a 2014blt MV ORIENT GENESIS at 23m. Today these 2 ships would expect to get more.
For younger tonnage with an electronic engine built in Japan, we have not seen much activity, last concluded sale being in May, MV IOANNA L built 2017 Tsunesishi Zhoushan at about 29m, but clearly at same levels a potential buyer cannot do repeat deal and generally the supply of such modern ships in the market has been limited for some time amid sellers holding for much better numbers and/or taking advantage of the lucrative daily earnings.
Even for the older units of about 20 years of age, owners now asking levels of about usd 12m or more for 2000/2001blt vessels. The calculations shipowners are making on such vessels is quite simple: They factor in how much the ship will earn basis today’s rates for one year i.e. about USD 7,5m then they add on top the demo value, about USD 5m. So the price comes in excess of USD12m. Similar asset value levels were observed in mid-2010, however it could also be a De Ja Vu of the year 2004, at the beginning of the previous boom, when 20 years old Panamaxes were fetching similar prices.
Let’s see how long the current boom will last. We all hope that It will last for long.
By Costas Hardalis,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 27 August 21
THE ECONOMICS OF INDONESIA’S DIESEL POWER PLANT TO GAS CONVERSION PLAN ARE PROBLEMATIC - IEEFA
Deploying new small-scale LNG is an uphill battle for PGN
Indonesian gas is currently in a precarious position, where the government needs to ...
Thursday, 26 August 21
INDIA IMPORTED 17.06 MLN TONNES OF LPG IN 2020; UP 11.5% Y-O-Y
Global LPG trade remained fairly positive in 2020, despite the global economic impact from COVID-19, and surged strongly in the first half of 2021. ...
Tuesday, 24 August 21
COAL PRICE RALLY TO PRESSURE CHINESE POWER GENCOS’ MARGINS FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects the pressure on Chinese power generation companies’ (gencos) profit from the recent coal price surge to weaken their cr ...
Tuesday, 24 August 21
TIGHT POWER SUPPLY IN CHINA AMID STRONG DEMAND, HIGH COAL PRICES - FITCH RATINGS
China experienced tight power supply in 1H21 on stronger than expected power demand as economic activity continued to recover, Fitch Ratings says i ...
Monday, 23 August 21
CHINESE COAL PRODUCTION RISES 4.9 PCT IN 1ST 7 MONTHS OF 2021 - NBS
Official figures demonstrated that the Chinese raw coal production surged 4.9 percent annually to 2.26 billion tonnes in the January-July period of ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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