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Friday, 20 August 21
CHINA’S IRON ORE IMPORTS CONTRACTED YEAR-ON-YEAR BY 2% IN 2018 AND GREW YEAR-ON-YEAR BY ONLY 1% IN 2019 - COMMODORE RESEARCH
 Examining the last ten years of China’s crude steel output and iron ore imports shows that China’s iron ore imports have stayed resilient during each year where China’s crude steel output growth came under notable pressure, Commodore Research reported in its August report.
Commodore Research further noted, last decade began with China’s crude steel output growing year-on-year by 9% in 2011, and iron ore imports that year grew year-on-year by a robust 11%. However, 2012 then saw crude steel output grow year-on-year by only 3%, but iron ore imports that year still grew year-on-year by 9%. 2013 saw strong growth in both crude steel output and iron ore imports (each grew by 10%), but then 2014 saw crude steel production grow year-on-year by 5%. However, iron ore imports in 2014 still grew year-on-year by 13%. 2015 then saw China’s crude steel output contract year-on-year by 2%, but iron ore imports that year still grew year-on-year by 2%.
2016 then saw crude steel output grow year-on-year by only 1%, but iron ore imports that year grew year-on-year by 8%. 2017 saw the same growth in both crude steel output and iron ore imports (each grew year-on-year by 5%).
As we have been stressing in our work since we started our consultancy in 2010, Commodore Research said, it is global iron ore production that dictates China’s iron ore import volume. China has long remained content to purchase as much iron ore that exporters want to sell China (as imports are much higher quality than iron ore mined in China). Year after year has continued to show that China’s actual iron ore import demand remains resilient even when crude steel output growth comes under pressure. 2018 and 2019 would then go on to see weakness in iron ore imports, but this was not due to weakness in crude steel output. China’s iron ore imports contracted year-on-year by 2% in 2018 and grew year-on-year by only 1% in 2019, but crude steel output grew year-on-year by 10% in 2018 and by 7% in 2019. It was not weakness in steel output that led to two years of iron ore import weakness.
Global iron ore production was not finding significant growth at this time following years of weakness in iron ore prices, and overall global iron ore production was also hit further in 2019 after Vale’s dam collapse in January 2019 (which ended up curtailing Vale’s production). 2020 then ended up seeing China’s crude steel output grow year-on-year by 6% and iron ore imports grow year-on-year by 9%.
Overall, year after year has continued to show that China’s actual iron ore import demand remains resilient even if steel output experiences low growth or even contracts.
During the last ten years, Commodore Research said, there have been three years where China’s crude steel output grew by less than 5% (2012, 2015, and 2016) — and during all of these years China’s annual iron ore imports set new records. This historical fact is not making its way into market consensus. The Chinese government never comes out and states that iron ore imports can find strength even during years where steel output comes under pressure, but this is exactly what history has continued to show. Consuming as much imported iron ore as possible (at the expense of domestically mined iron ore) remains in the very best interest of China’s environment — and fortunately for the Chinese steel sector, the price of iron ore cargoes are now much more attractive.
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Friday, 27 August 21
THE ECONOMICS OF INDONESIA’S DIESEL POWER PLANT TO GAS CONVERSION PLAN ARE PROBLEMATIC - IEEFA
Deploying new small-scale LNG is an uphill battle for PGN
Indonesian gas is currently in a precarious position, where the government needs to ...
Thursday, 26 August 21
INDIA IMPORTED 17.06 MLN TONNES OF LPG IN 2020; UP 11.5% Y-O-Y
Global LPG trade remained fairly positive in 2020, despite the global economic impact from COVID-19, and surged strongly in the first half of 2021. ...
Thursday, 26 August 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
24th of August 2021, the Baltic Dry Index reached 4,201, a YTD high and the highest since May 2010.
Cape 5TC daily average @ 51,472
...
Tuesday, 24 August 21
COAL PRICE RALLY TO PRESSURE CHINESE POWER GENCOS’ MARGINS FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects the pressure on Chinese power generation companies’ (gencos) profit from the recent coal price surge to weaken their cr ...
Tuesday, 24 August 21
TIGHT POWER SUPPLY IN CHINA AMID STRONG DEMAND, HIGH COAL PRICES - FITCH RATINGS
China experienced tight power supply in 1H21 on stronger than expected power demand as economic activity continued to recover, Fitch Ratings says i ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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