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Thursday, 12 August 21
ONLY 3 VLCCS SOLD FOR DEMOLITION IN 2021 AS SECONDHAND PRICES TEMPT - BIMCO
 During the first seven months of 2021, only three actively trading Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) have been sold for demolition. The current market for seaborne transportation of crude oil is weak and has caused freight rates to drop to multi-year lows. Despite this, crude oil tanker shipowners are not seizing the opportunity to reduce capacity and send less efficient units to the demolition yards.
The subdued demolition activity is seen at a time when steel prices offered in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan – the world’s top ship demolition locations – are at an all-time high. The price of steel from ship demolition is supported by high steel prices in general as well as the limited number of ships heading for demolition.
In addition to the three actively trading VLCCs demolished in the first seven months of the year, five retired VLCCs working as Floating Storage and Offloading units (FSOs) in recent years have been demolished.
However, as they are not actively trading, the demolition of these five VLCC (FSO)s does not affect the demand-supply imbalance, i.e., the freight rates. The average age of the scrapped VLCCs used as FSOs is 24 years while the average age for the three actively trading VLCCs is 22 years.
Owners take advantage of an attractive secondhand market
The lethargic pace of VLCC demolition is also explained by attractive prices for older ships in the secondhand market. According to VesselsValue, 69 VLCCs have changed hands in the Jan-July 2021 period, compared with 91 for the full year of 2020.
To some extent, what we see now is like what we saw in the period that followed the six quarters of high oil tanker earnings from Q4 2014 through Q1 2016. Following this it was not until Q3 2017 that we began to see a pick-up in demolition for VLCCs.
Time has proven that it takes time for shipowners’ demolition decision to mature, and that a weak market right in the wake of a strong one is not enough to take the final step and go for demolition.
“The low demolition level seen in the first seven months of the year for crude oil tankers surely takes some by surprise. Some are wondering why shipowners are not demolishing the excess fleet when freight rates have been sluggish for the past year,” says Peter Sand, BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst.
“The reason behind this is two-fold. Firstly, the strong earnings enjoyed by everyone in the crude oil tanker shipping sector last year leaves no owner short of cash. Secondly, as secondhand prices exceed even the record-high prices offered for demolition steel, shipowners are more inclined to keep their tankers afloat and changing hands, rather than sending them to the demolition yards,” says Sand, adding:
“Yet, nothing is straightforward as oil product tankers, on the other hand are heading for a record-high level of fleet demolition in 2021.”
Source: BIMCO, By Peter Sand, Chief Shipping Analyst
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Thursday, 24 June 21
FEBRUARY'S INCREASE IN COAL-FIRED ELECTRIC GENERATION REDUCED U.S. COAL STOCKPILES - EIA
Coal stockpiles at U.S. power plants decreased significantly from December 2020 to February 2021, including a draw of nearly 16 million tons in Feb ...
Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong ma ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
2020 PROVED TO BE A TRULY TERRIBLE YEAR FOR GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL TRADE; CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
2020 proved to be a truly terrible year for global seaborne coal trade.
Total global loadings in the 12 months of 2020 were down -12 ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES SHORT-TERM OIL AND GAS PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch Ratings has increased its 2021 and 2022 oil price assumptions for the Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmarks due to stronger year ...
Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
“While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving fo ...
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