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Sunday, 01 August 21
SEABORNE HARD COAL TRADE IN 2020 DECREASED BY 149 MILLION MT, OR 12.1%, TO 1,083 MILLION MT - GERMAN COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
 - Reduced coal-fired power plant fleet secures Germany’s power supply in severe winter of 2020/2021; little wind availability and hence stronger coal burn until well into the second quarter of 2021
- Coal phase-out law leads to closure of young and modern hard-coal-fired power plants
- Southern German power plant locations are very important for security of supply and hence disadvantaged in phase out scenario
- 2021 VDKi celebrates its 125th anniversary
According to Coal Importers Association, Germany, the first half of 2021 shows that hard coal continues to make an important and reliable contribution to electricity generation despite the sealed coal phase-out. The volume of electricity generated in hard coal-fired power plants increased by more than a third (35.6%) to almost 25 TWh compared with the same period of the previous year in a period of low temperatures and with significantly less wind power availability. With this increase, hard coal made a significant contribution to security of supply, underlining its important role in safeguarding the energy transition. In our opinion, this will continue to be necessary in the future, especially after the increase in the German government's forecast for electricity consumption in 2030 of between 645 and 665 TWh.
The press release from German Coal Importers Association noted that, the coal phase-out law was enacted on August 08th, 2020. Over the first three tenders, 25 bids were awarded with a bid quantity of 8,435 MW. This included some young, modern coal-fired power plants. In this respect, the mechanism of the law has not resulted in primarily older power plants with higher specific CO2 emissions being taken off the grid.
Southern German hard-coal-fired power plants are at a massive disadvantage in the auctions for the capacities to be decommissioned. Participation in the first tender was excluded, and in subsequent tenders a grid factor will be taken into account which will with high probability prevent any successful participation in those auctions. As a result, the employees of the hard coal-fired power plants in southern Germany will be at a significant disadvantage in terms of possible socially acceptable staff reductions.
The association further noted that, there is also an urgent need for action in the district heating sector. In many German cities, district heating comes from highly efficient cogeneration plants based on hard coal. VDKI member companies report difficulties with possible conversion of their plants to gas or biomass. There is a lack of funding or simply a lack of efficient gas grid connections.
Following the passing of the Climate Protection Act, the energy industry framework conditions must now be adjusted quickly.
In 2020, world hard coal production decreased by around 220 million mt to 7.06 billion mt due to the pandemic and thereby returned to the level of 2018. Essentially, only the production increases of China (+94 million mt) and India (+7 million mt) ensured that world hard coal production did not decrease even more. Seaborne trade in 2020 decreased by 149 million mt, or 12.1%, to 1,083 million mt. Seaborne coking coal exports decreased by 13.2% to 264 mt and the steam coal market decreased by 11.7% to 819 mt. Hard coal continues to ensure economic growth in Asia and other growth regions, thereby the share of seaborne trade in Asia now amounts to 84%. An increase of world production and world hard coal trade will be a fact during world economy’s recovery post COVID.
On August 31st this year, the VDKi will celebrate its 125th anniversary in the knowledge that its members continue to make an essential and highly reliable contribution to the German economy through their hard coal activities.
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Thursday, 24 June 21
FEBRUARY'S INCREASE IN COAL-FIRED ELECTRIC GENERATION REDUCED U.S. COAL STOCKPILES - EIA
Coal stockpiles at U.S. power plants decreased significantly from December 2020 to February 2021, including a draw of nearly 16 million tons in Feb ...
Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong ma ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
2020 PROVED TO BE A TRULY TERRIBLE YEAR FOR GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL TRADE; CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
2020 proved to be a truly terrible year for global seaborne coal trade.
Total global loadings in the 12 months of 2020 were down -12 ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES SHORT-TERM OIL AND GAS PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch Ratings has increased its 2021 and 2022 oil price assumptions for the Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmarks due to stronger year ...
Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
“While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving fo ...
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