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Wednesday, 21 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Dry Buk Sales and Purchase activity has heated up during 2021, reaching record high levels during the first half of the year. The increased interest has been driven by upbeat freight rates reaching more than decade highs, combined with assets being undervalued compared to both actual earnings and earnings expectations; Earnings and asset values expectations flared up after the counter seasonal surge in freight rates during Q1, which saw March recording the highest monthly dry SnP figure by historical standards, followed by June, when Panamax and Supramax freight rates hit the highest level since 2010. SnP monthly transactions have decelerated so far into July with the freight market correcting – albeit from multi year high levels - however asset values continue their upward trend. Since June, notable increases in values of more than 7% are observed in Cape and Kasmarmax particularly in the 5-10 Y age bracket. Below we present a short overview of the dry SnP transactions since March broken down by type of vessel.
During March 2021, total S&P transactions increased by approx. 25% compared to February 2021, reaching more than 80 deals. Slightly less than 20 Handysize vessels, marginally more than 25 Supramax/Ultramax bulkers, around 25 Panamax/Kamsarmax vessels and finally more than 10 Capesize/Newcastlemaxes changed hands back then. Supramaxes and Handysize vessels corresponded to almost half of the transactions that formed the total S&P deal landscape.
During April 2021, total SnP deals amounted to around 65, decreasing by approx. 25% vs the previous month. The decrease was driven mainly by Handysize and Supramax vessels and especially the latter that ended up accounting for around half of those committed in March 2021. As for the other segments, Kamsarmax and Capesize vessels maintained similar levels m-o-m while the Ultramax tonnage was the only one that a showed significant increase of around 50% compared to the previous month.
Moving on to May 2021, the total deals increased by around 10 in number of vessels. Handysize and Supramax deals surged by more than 50% m-o-m while the deals across all the other segments decreased significantly.
Regarding June 2021, we can argue that the number of deals did not differ significantly compared to May 2021 with Handysize, Kamsarmax, Post-Panamax and Capesize following a similar pattern m-o-m. However, Panamax and Ultramax bulkers that changed hands significantly increased tracking the freight market momentum and the number of Supramax decreased by approx. 70% m-o-m.
As far as the current month, the total transactions that have taken place so far in July amount to approx. 40. At the current pace, it looks like the full monthly figure will end up significantly below the monthly average deals recorded so far in 2021, driven mainly by Handysize and Panamax transactions slowing down. It remains to be seen, whether SnP volumes for the larger dry bulk segment will start catching up to the smaller ones, given constructive market expectations for Capesize in the next months.
By George Kallianiotis,
Valuation Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 11 July 21
ROBUST CHINA COAL DEMAND AMID AUSTRALIA IMPORT BAN FUELS PRICE RALLY - REUTERS
Seaborne coal has become a quiet winner among energy commodities, lacking the attention of higher-profile crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) ...
Saturday, 10 July 21
OVERESTIMATED LCOES OF COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS CREATE A FINANCIAL BUBBLE - IEEFA
Massive stranded asset risk detrimentally affects the financial and power distribution
India’s future coal-fired power project pipeline ...
Friday, 09 July 21
EIA FORECASTS COAL’S GENERATION SHARE IN U.S TO RISE FROM 20% IN 2020 TO 24% THIS YEAR BUT TO FALL TO 22% NEXT YEAR
The July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) of EIA remains subject to heightened levels of uncertainty related to the ongoing economic recovery from ...
Friday, 09 July 21
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. INVITES BIDS FOR 1.86 MILLION TONS OF COAL OF 5600 & 4000 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 280,000 – 300,000 MT of Min. ...
Friday, 09 July 21
CAN WE EXPECT AFFORDABLE POWER SUPPLY BY REPLACING COAL BASED POWER WITH LNG? - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Bangladesh government’s recent decision to cancel the contracts for 10 coal fired power plants in late June 2021 has invited interest in the ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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