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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 21 January 21
LNG MARKET RIDING HIGH, BUT WILL THE GAINS CONTINUE? - DREWRY
The LNG market started 2021 on a high note with Asian spot prices crossing $30 per MMBtu while LNG shipping rates recorded a high $350k per day due ...
Thursday, 21 January 21
CHINA'S SPOT THERMAL COAL PRICES REFRESH RECORD HIGH - MYSTEEL
Despite the moderate rebound in temperatures across most regions of China after late December’s deep-freeze, thermal coal prices in the count ...
Wednesday, 20 January 21
CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK IN HEBEI HAS LIMITED IMPACT ON CHINA'S STEEL INDUSTRY - FITCH RATINGS
The recent Covid-19 outbreak in the steel producing hub Hebei will not have material impact on China’s steel industry, Fitch Ratings says.
...
Wednesday, 20 January 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While 2020 is finally behind us, its negative impacts are still hovering over the shipping market. That being said, it is still too early to even s ...
Saturday, 16 January 21
SEABORNE TRADE IN STEAM COAL DECREASED BY 11.6% FROM 937 MILLION TONNES IN 2019 TO 828 MILLION TONNES IN 2020 - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), global hard coal production dec ...
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
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