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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
"2020 the year from hell for the entire world, had everything for shipowners. The introduction of the sulphur cap and VLSFO, a Pandemic outbre ...
Tuesday, 02 February 21
WILL THE ELECTRONIC B/L BE FULLY IMPLEMENTED? FIVE POINTS TO CONSIDER - MOL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The trend towards digitization of Bills of Lading (B/L) has begun to attract attention in the trade and shipping industrie ...
Monday, 01 February 21
A 56,000-DWT OPEN MANILA WAS FIXED FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA AT $11,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize routes endured a week of slippage on rates, bringing the market back down to levels seen at the beginning of the month. D ...
Monday, 01 February 21
PAKISTAN: COAL DEMAND EXPECTED TO SPIKE IN 2021 - DAWN
Coal demand is expected to remain upbeat in 2021 as more coal-fired and captive power plants are coming up in the current year.
Acco ...
Friday, 29 January 21
COAL EXPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA TO MAINLAND CHINA DECLINED BY -22.2% Y-O-Y IN 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
In the 12 months of 2020, global seaborne coal trade declined by as much as -12.7% year-on-year, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv, ...
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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