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Saturday, 10 July 21
OVERESTIMATED LCOES OF COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS CREATE A FINANCIAL BUBBLE - IEEFA
Massive stranded asset risk detrimentally affects the financial and power distribution
India’s future coal-fired power project pipeline carries a massive stranded asset risk due to the collapse in the average utilisation rate of its coal-fired power fleet leading to an underestimation of financial risk for new projects, finds a new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA).
There are currently 33 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power plants under construction and another 29GW of proposed projects under various stages of regulatory approval in India.
Author of the report, energy finance analyst Kashish Shah says the LCOE (levelised cost of energy) is the required tariff at which the net present value of the investment is zero.
“In other words, LCOE is the minimum required average tariff for a power asset to reach a breakeven return at the end of its life. Anything less than that suggests the asset is unviable.”
Shah found that the average utilisation rate of India’s coal-fired fleet has collapsed to a financially unsustainable low of 53% in financial year (FY) 2020/21 from a high of 78% a decade ago in FY2011/12.
For most coal plants in India, the LCOE is calculated with an assumption of utilisation factor of 85-90% throughout the life of the project. However, the LCOE turns out to be 64% higher with India’s average capacity utilisation factor sitting at ~55% for the last few years.
“The aspiration for further builds of coal capacity stems from the notion that coal is still ‘cheap’,” says Shah. “However, with tariffs now below Rs2/kilowatt hour (kWh) (US$27/MWh), solar power is cheaper than even the variable cost of coal-fired power and is ready to absorb incremental daytime demand.”
IEEFA’s report highlights that utilisation factors of coal-fired power plants have declined not just in India, but across major electricity markets including China, the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (U.S.).
“With zero fuel costs, the marginal cost of generation for renewables is practically zero,” says Shah. “On the other hand, with increasing inflation in Indian domestic coal prices and railway transportation costs for coal, the gap between cost competitiveness of renewables versus coal is widening.
“This raises a serious concern about the viability of coal-fired power plants.
“Debt servicing for underutilised coal-fired power assets becomes extremely difficult and creates a liquidity crunch in the whole value chain. The financial stress then spills over to the power distribution sector as well as affecting India’s financial lending institutions. This further inhibits growth in other important segments of the power industry such as renewables and transmission infrastructure, which are extremely critical for India’s electricity sector transition.”
The report concludes that the financial viability of India’s proposed and under construction coal-fired power projects should be re-evaluated based on the right estimation of utilisation factors including LCOE and capacity factor to avoid further bloating of India’s non-performing assets.
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Sunday, 18 April 21
WORLDSTEEL RAISES 2021 STEEL DEMAND GROWTH FORECAST TO 5.8% - WORLDSTEEL
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that steel demand wil ...
Sunday, 18 April 21
CHINA'S Q1 COAL OUTPUT RISES 16% ON STRONG DEMAND FOR WINTER HEATING - REUTERS
China’s coal output rose 16% in the first quarter from the same period last year, bolstered by strong demand for winter heating and robust in ...
Wednesday, 14 April 21
INDIA HAS A RECORD LEVEL OF STOCKPILED COAL DAMPENING NEED FOR NEW DOMESTIC MINES - IEEFA
Proposed coal mining expansions at odds with excess supply
India has stockpiled a record 132 million tonnes of coal – enough t ...
Wednesday, 14 April 21
BANGLADESH NEEDS A RENEWABLES FOCUS, NOT A SWITCH FROM 'COAL TO GAS' - IEEFA
Renewables are cheaper and more sustainable than gas imports, and can provide better energy security in developing nations
The emerg ...
Wednesday, 14 April 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 1.10 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 138.05 points Monday, down 1.10 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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