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Saturday, 10 July 21
OVERESTIMATED LCOES OF COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS CREATE A FINANCIAL BUBBLE - IEEFA
Massive stranded asset risk detrimentally affects the financial and power distribution
India’s future coal-fired power project pipeline carries a massive stranded asset risk due to the collapse in the average utilisation rate of its coal-fired power fleet leading to an underestimation of financial risk for new projects, finds a new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA).
There are currently 33 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power plants under construction and another 29GW of proposed projects under various stages of regulatory approval in India.
Author of the report, energy finance analyst Kashish Shah says the LCOE (levelised cost of energy) is the required tariff at which the net present value of the investment is zero.
“In other words, LCOE is the minimum required average tariff for a power asset to reach a breakeven return at the end of its life. Anything less than that suggests the asset is unviable.”
Shah found that the average utilisation rate of India’s coal-fired fleet has collapsed to a financially unsustainable low of 53% in financial year (FY) 2020/21 from a high of 78% a decade ago in FY2011/12.
For most coal plants in India, the LCOE is calculated with an assumption of utilisation factor of 85-90% throughout the life of the project. However, the LCOE turns out to be 64% higher with India’s average capacity utilisation factor sitting at ~55% for the last few years.
“The aspiration for further builds of coal capacity stems from the notion that coal is still ‘cheap’,” says Shah. “However, with tariffs now below Rs2/kilowatt hour (kWh) (US$27/MWh), solar power is cheaper than even the variable cost of coal-fired power and is ready to absorb incremental daytime demand.”
IEEFA’s report highlights that utilisation factors of coal-fired power plants have declined not just in India, but across major electricity markets including China, the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (U.S.).
“With zero fuel costs, the marginal cost of generation for renewables is practically zero,” says Shah. “On the other hand, with increasing inflation in Indian domestic coal prices and railway transportation costs for coal, the gap between cost competitiveness of renewables versus coal is widening.
“This raises a serious concern about the viability of coal-fired power plants.
“Debt servicing for underutilised coal-fired power assets becomes extremely difficult and creates a liquidity crunch in the whole value chain. The financial stress then spills over to the power distribution sector as well as affecting India’s financial lending institutions. This further inhibits growth in other important segments of the power industry such as renewables and transmission infrastructure, which are extremely critical for India’s electricity sector transition.”
The report concludes that the financial viability of India’s proposed and under construction coal-fired power projects should be re-evaluated based on the right estimation of utilisation factors including LCOE and capacity factor to avoid further bloating of India’s non-performing assets.
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Sunday, 11 July 21
COAL SHOWS ITS STAYING POWER AS ECONOMIES BOUNCE BACK - THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Coal use is surging in some of the world’s largest economies as electricity demand rebounds from the pandemic, illustrating the challenges to ...
Sunday, 11 July 21
ROBUST CHINA COAL DEMAND AMID AUSTRALIA IMPORT BAN FUELS PRICE RALLY - REUTERS
Seaborne coal has become a quiet winner among energy commodities, lacking the attention of higher-profile crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) ...
Friday, 09 July 21
EIA FORECASTS COAL’S GENERATION SHARE IN U.S TO RISE FROM 20% IN 2020 TO 24% THIS YEAR BUT TO FALL TO 22% NEXT YEAR
The July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) of EIA remains subject to heightened levels of uncertainty related to the ongoing economic recovery from ...
Friday, 09 July 21
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. INVITES BIDS FOR 1.86 MILLION TONS OF COAL OF 5600 & 4000 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 280,000 – 300,000 MT of Min. ...
Friday, 09 July 21
CAN WE EXPECT AFFORDABLE POWER SUPPLY BY REPLACING COAL BASED POWER WITH LNG? - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Bangladesh government’s recent decision to cancel the contracts for 10 coal fired power plants in late June 2021 has invited interest in the ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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