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Friday, 09 July 21
EIA FORECASTS COAL’S GENERATION SHARE IN U.S TO RISE FROM 20% IN 2020 TO 24% THIS YEAR BUT TO FALL TO 22% NEXT YEAR
 The July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) of EIA remains subject to heightened levels of uncertainty related to the ongoing economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. U.S. economic activity continues to rise after reaching multiyear lows in the second quarter of 2020 (2Q20). The increase in economic activity and easing of the COVID-19 pandemic have contributed to rising energy use. U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) declined by 3.5% in 2020 from 2019 levels. This STEO assumes U.S. GDP will grow by 7.4% in 2021 and by 5.0% in 2022. We based the U.S. macroeconomic assumptions in this outlook on forecasts by IHS Markit.
EIA's July Short-Term Energy Outlook noted that, Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $73 per barrel (b) in June, up $5/b from May and $33/b higher than in June of last year. In the coming months, we expect that global oil production, largely from OPEC+ members (OPEC and partner nonmember countries), will increase by more than global oil consumption. We expect rising production will reduce the persistent global oil inventory draws that have occurred for much of the past year and keep prices similar to current levels, averaging $72/b during the second half of 2021 (2H21). However, in 2022, we expect that continuing growth in production from OPEC+ and accelerating growth in U.S. tight oil production, along with other supply growth, will outpace growth in global oil consumption and contribute to declining oil prices. Based on these factors, we expect Brent to average $67/b in 2022.
EIA expects U.S. coal production to total 617 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, which is 78 MMst (15%) more than in 2020. Rising electricity demand for coal amid higher natural gas prices is driving this production increase. In 2022, we expect coal production to fall by 7 MMst (1%).
EIA also forecasts coal’s generation share to rise from 20% in 2020 to 24% this year but to fall to 22% next year. In th meantime, the share of electric power generation produced by natural gas in the United States will average 36% in both 2021 and 2022, down from 39% in 2020. Our forecast for the natural gas share as a generation fuel declines because we expect a higher delivered natural gas price for electricity generators.
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Wednesday, 13 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following up on our insight on May 2021, where we discussed about the Capesize market outlook for the second half of the year, we are pleased to se ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
FBX INDEX: THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF SHORT-TERM FORECASTING - LARS JENSEN
Will freight rates on Asia-Europe or the Transpacific reach 40.000 USD/FFE in the run-up prior to Chinese New Year 2022? Or will they start droppin ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
CHINA FLOODS: COAL PRICE HITS FRESH HIGH AS MINES SHUT - BBC
The price of coal used in China’s power plants has surged to a new record high as another of the country’s key mining regions is hit by ...
Tuesday, 12 October 21
BUMA SIGNS CONDITIONAL AGREEMENT FOR AUSTRALIAN ASSET ACQUISITION
PT Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, through its newly incorporated Australian subsidiary, BUMA International Pty ...
Tuesday, 12 October 21
INDONESIA'S COAL-BASED POWER PLANTS ARE SUBJECT TO CARBON TAX NEXT YEAR, ELECTRICITY COSTS COULD RISE! - CNBC
The Indonesian government is planning plans to implement a carbon tax of IDR 30 per kilogram (kg) of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) or equivalent ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
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