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Tuesday, 06 July 21
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS FELL BY 37% YOY IN 1Q21 DUE TO ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS - FITCH RATINGS
 Chinese coal imports declined by 25% yoy in 5M21as a result of both restrictions on Australian coal and the high base in 2020. Import volume in January 2020 was exceptionally high due to restrictions at the end of 2019, shows China and India Data Snapshot of Fitch Ratings.
Data Snapshot further shows, imports of thermal coal edged up 0.1% on a sequential basis in 5M21. China’s thermal power generation rose by 16.0% yoy in 5M21, driven by strong economic growth and limited incremental contribution from hydropower. Wind power generation surged by 47% in 5M21. Still, wind accounts for only one-fifth of the power generation growth in the period due to the limited absolute size. Aggressive installation of wind and solar capacity in China is not yet sufficient to meet the country’s incremental power. demand.
According to Data Snapshot of Fitch Ratings, Fitch estimates that Indian power demand will increase by around 6% in the financial year ending March 2022 (FY22), driving improvement in plant load factors (PLFs) of coal-based thermal power plants in the near term. We expect the impact on power demand from the recent resurgence in Covid-19 to be limited. Furthermore, the slowdown in renewable capacity additions since 2020, as a result of delays in construction and signing of power purchase agreements by distribution companies, should benefit thermal power plants. That said, we believe renewable energy will account for a larger portion of India’s electricity output in the long term and will pressure PLFs of coal-fired power projects. The PLFs of coal-fired plants rose above pre-pandemic levels and remained consistently above 60% during January-April 2021 for the first time in the past five years. PLFs fell by 54% in May, hit by the resurgence in Covid-19 but remained higher than last year (47%).
China and India Data Snapshot of Fitch Ratings noted that, Indonesian coal exports fell by 37% yoy in1Q21 due to adverse weather conditions that hurt production. Fitch expects production to improve throughout the rest of the year, and Indonesian regulators have increased the 2021output target to 625 million tonnes, against 563 million tonnes of production in 2020. Fitch expects the majority of the production increases to be used for exports.
According to China and India Data Snapshot of Fitch Ratings, Australian thermal coal exports continued to decline, falling by 8% qoq and 11% yoy in 1Q21,as exports to China have completely halted.
Exports to India remained at a high level of 4.32 million tonnes in the quarter but were insufficient to compensate fully for the volume loss from China’s soft-ban on Australian coal since mid-October 2020.
Japan's power demand increased by3% yoy in May due to the limited impact from the country’s third state of emergency because of Covid-19. However, power demand in 5M21 stayed below most historical years other than 2020. Japan’s coal import volume declined by 5.4% yoy in 4M21, of which imported thermal coal decreased by 3.1%.
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Thursday, 24 June 21
FEBRUARY'S INCREASE IN COAL-FIRED ELECTRIC GENERATION REDUCED U.S. COAL STOCKPILES - EIA
Coal stockpiles at U.S. power plants decreased significantly from December 2020 to February 2021, including a draw of nearly 16 million tons in Feb ...
Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong ma ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
2020 PROVED TO BE A TRULY TERRIBLE YEAR FOR GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL TRADE; CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
2020 proved to be a truly terrible year for global seaborne coal trade.
Total global loadings in the 12 months of 2020 were down -12 ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES SHORT-TERM OIL AND GAS PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch Ratings has increased its 2021 and 2022 oil price assumptions for the Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmarks due to stronger year ...
Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
“While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving fo ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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