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Tuesday, 06 July 21
INDONESIAN 4,200 INDEX HAS ALSO INCREASED TO OVER USD50 PER TONNE SINCE MAY THIS YEAR REFLECTING STRONG CHINESE IMPORT DEMAND - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch RatingsPrice Surge Since March
APAC thermal coal has resumed its price surge since March this year. The  benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal increased by 52% in  the past four months to USD136/tonne by end-June, Fitch Ratings said in its latest APAC Thermal Coal Watch report.
 
The high prices are largely supported by tight supply in China against the backdrop of a global commodities bull market, while 1Q21 import volume from major Asian importing countries remained slightly lower than 2019 and 2020 levels. 
 
Supply Shortage in China
APAC Thermal Coal Watch report noted that, China’s benchmark Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg coal price made a drastic return to nearly CNY1,000/tonne by end-June, after a correction to CNY566/tonne at  end February. The 6M21 average price reached CNY792/tonne. China’s power generation in 5M21 rose by14.9% yoy, which translated to a solid average annual growth  of 6.9% from 5M19. Meanwhile,  supply remains subdued due to limited new capacity in 5M21 and safety and environmental speculations from local governments. 
 
Inventories at power plants and coal mines are at relatively low levels, further exposing prices to strong volatility. 
 
More Production Expected in 2H21
APAC Thermal Coal Watch report also noted, China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) expects coal prices to enter a downward trend from July, according to a recent interview of a NDRC  official by state-owned Xinhua News Agency. The NDRC official revealed that more supply was arranged, including resumed production from previously suspended capacity and larger approved quota for some operational mines. China’s coal production edged up by 1.3% in May from April but was still 7.3% below the high level in December last year. 
 
Indonesian Coal Price Improves
According to APAC Thermal Coal Watch report of Fitch Ratings, the Indonesian 4,200kcal index has also increased to over USD50/tonne since May this year reflecting strong Chinese import demand and the soft cap on Australian coal. However, Fitch expects prices  to taper off througout  the rest of the year following improving  Chinese  production  and  easing demand. The1Q21 performance has improved significantly for Indonesian miners and mining contractors.


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Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA DROP 98.6% AS RESTRICTIONS BITE - BIMCO
In the first seven months of the year Chinese coal imports from Australia have totalled just 780,000 tonnes as Chinese restrictions on Australian c ...


Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT RESUMES GROWTH IN AUGUST - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose 0.8 percent year on year to 340 million tonnes last month, official data showed.   The growth rate ...


Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed ...


Saturday, 11 September 21
CIL STEPS UP SUPPLY COAL TO POWER SECTOR; PER-DAY AVERAGE 20 PC HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - PTI
State-owned CIL on Friday said it has stepped up the supply of coal to the power sector in the first eight days of the current month, with an avera ...


Saturday, 11 September 21
RECORD CHINESE COAL FUTURES SIGNAL NEED TO BOOST OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s coal prices have climbed to a record high, signaling the need for more production in the short term, even as the government tries to ...


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