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Tuesday, 06 July 21
INDONESIAN 4,200 INDEX HAS ALSO INCREASED TO OVER USD50 PER TONNE SINCE MAY THIS YEAR REFLECTING STRONG CHINESE IMPORT DEMAND - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch RatingsPrice Surge Since March
APAC thermal coal has resumed its price surge since March this year. The  benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal increased by 52% in  the past four months to USD136/tonne by end-June, Fitch Ratings said in its latest APAC Thermal Coal Watch report.
 
The high prices are largely supported by tight supply in China against the backdrop of a global commodities bull market, while 1Q21 import volume from major Asian importing countries remained slightly lower than 2019 and 2020 levels. 
 
Supply Shortage in China
APAC Thermal Coal Watch report noted that, China’s benchmark Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg coal price made a drastic return to nearly CNY1,000/tonne by end-June, after a correction to CNY566/tonne at  end February. The 6M21 average price reached CNY792/tonne. China’s power generation in 5M21 rose by14.9% yoy, which translated to a solid average annual growth  of 6.9% from 5M19. Meanwhile,  supply remains subdued due to limited new capacity in 5M21 and safety and environmental speculations from local governments. 
 
Inventories at power plants and coal mines are at relatively low levels, further exposing prices to strong volatility. 
 
More Production Expected in 2H21
APAC Thermal Coal Watch report also noted, China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) expects coal prices to enter a downward trend from July, according to a recent interview of a NDRC  official by state-owned Xinhua News Agency. The NDRC official revealed that more supply was arranged, including resumed production from previously suspended capacity and larger approved quota for some operational mines. China’s coal production edged up by 1.3% in May from April but was still 7.3% below the high level in December last year. 
 
Indonesian Coal Price Improves
According to APAC Thermal Coal Watch report of Fitch Ratings, the Indonesian 4,200kcal index has also increased to over USD50/tonne since May this year reflecting strong Chinese import demand and the soft cap on Australian coal. However, Fitch expects prices  to taper off througout  the rest of the year following improving  Chinese  production  and  easing demand. The1Q21 performance has improved significantly for Indonesian miners and mining contractors.


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Friday, 04 June 21
NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS IN INDIA WILL BE ECONOMICALLY UNVIABLE - IEEFA
Coal capacity additions face major stranded asset risk Much of India’s 33 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power capacity currently under co ...


Thursday, 03 June 21
JUNE HBA IS HITTING ABOVE $100 AND SETTLED AT ITS HIGHEST SINCE OCTOBER 2020
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for June 2021 settles at US$ 100.33 per ton FOB vessel.    The Indonesia coal pr ...


Wednesday, 02 June 21
INDONESIA RV WAS DOWN TO LOW/MID $20,000S DAY FOR PANAMAX/KAMSARMAX WITH DELIVERY S CHINA - BANCHERO COSTA
Panamax A softening week in the Pacific basin with rates under a downward pressure mainly caused by the oversupply of tonnage in the area, said ...


Wednesday, 02 June 21
EUROPEAN UNION'S IRON ORE IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union (27) is currently the fourth largest importer of iron ore in the world, after China, Japan, and South Korea.   Euro ...


Tuesday, 01 June 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.02 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 160.06 points Monday, down 0.02 percent week on week.   The index, released by Chi ...


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