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Wednesday, 30 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The strong freight performance since the beginning of year has continued for the dry bulk market with earnings being at the highest level in over a decade. As a result, vessels’ values have improved substantially, whilst demolition activity has stalled over the past two months. Older ships are attracting a lot of SnP interest at levels substantially above their scrap values. On top of this, the dry bulk orderbook continues to hover at low levels, as yards’ slots are filled with orders on other more profitable sectors, namely containers.
China has been the primary driving force behind the market improvement, as steel production has been running at record high levels, while demand for grains has accelerated owing to the better trade relationships with USA and the pig herd recovery from African Swine Fever which previously had a substantial impact in the specific trade.
What is more, commodities demand from the rest of the world is accelerating and intensifying trade inefficiencies in favor of dry bulk trade i.e. international steel prices are at record high levels, West-East steel price arbitrages, industrial output growth globally driving demand for iron ore and coking coal and a projected above average hot summer is seeing Europe and Asia competing for thermal coal. Minor bulks demand is also upbeat and sustains the upward freight trend for the geared dry bulk segment. The commodities price rally is in the meantime incentivizing more production and exports by miners, in order to take advantage of high prices, thus market players expect seaborne volumes to increase further in the coming months.
Increased trade has resulted in port congestion mounting to multi year highs; Port congestion in the Pacific is also supporting the supply side in the short term mainly in the Panamax sector whilst it is expected to have a positive impact on Capesize as well.
The freight market picture has been positively reflected into asset values. It is not though that the larger sizes have shadowed the geared ships, as in comparison geared vessels and Panamax in sequence have so far performed better in proportion to their value than a Capesize. Nonetheless, current FFA levels are supporting a further improvement in the spot market for Capesize during the second half of the year. If the spot market catches up pace with period earnings suggested by FFA levels as market participants anticipate, we should expect SnP interest to increase in the next quarters for the largest size and asset values to appreciate in tandem.
By Vasilis Moiris,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 11 September 21
CIL STEPS UP SUPPLY COAL TO POWER SECTOR; PER-DAY AVERAGE 20 PC HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - PTI
State-owned CIL on Friday said it has stepped up the supply of coal to the power sector in the first eight days of the current month, with an avera ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
RECORD CHINESE COAL FUTURES SIGNAL NEED TO BOOST OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s coal prices have climbed to a record high, signaling the need for more production in the short term, even as the government tries to ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
IN 2022, EIA EXPECTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE BY 47 MMST TO 648 MMST
U.S. Coal production accordng to EIA's forecast, totals 601 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 66 MMst more than in 2020, EIA's Short-Term ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES THERMAL COAL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON TIGHT SUPPLY
Fitch Ratings has increased all its Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg price assumptions and short- and medium-term Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg price assumptions ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
COAL IS STILL KING; INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE ABOVE $150 FOR FIRST TIME IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Coal Price Reference rose dramatically from US$ 127.05 in February 2011, to a peak of US$ 150.03 in September 2021, be ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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