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Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 “While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving forward with N. America and Europe leading the race. In this context, demand for oil products is expected to recover during the next quarters. While more people get vaccinated and travel restrictions are eased by governments, global oil products inventories are estimated to have dropped close to the 5 year average range for this time of year, with the Atlantic driving most of the destocking, thus refineries production will have to gradually increase looking forward.
As per the latest IEA report, in 2020 we saw a record decline in oil demand by 8.5 MB/D, which is now expected to rebound by + 5.4 MB/D in 2021 and to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels by end of 2022 with an additional +3.1 MB/D. Global gasoline demand is most likely to lag other oil products in returning to pre-covid numbers, as the combination of teleworking and the increase of electric cars will play a major role in the next two years. However, last to see a full demand recovery will be jet fuel, as international aviation has a long way to go until most of the population is vaccinated and consumers’ preferences normalize to pre-COVID levels, likely to take place after 2022.
For the time being, with bunker prices hovering at low to mid USD 500 PMT for VLSFO and close to USD 600 PMT for MGO, TCEs for tankers have been suppressed further on top of weak fundamentals. Nevertheless, tanker Owners are hopeful that the market will start recovering, as the market trough we are experiencing will soon be exhausted.
Charterers now working most of the cargoes privately to prevent owners from being bullish and from time to time we are seeing long tonnage lists that further weaken the market.
VLCC rates are still moving close to zero tce’s or even at some cases “moving” at negative numbers, there was some additional movement on the WAF/EAST route but was not enough to push rates, same story with Aframaxes and Suezmaxes east of Suez, rates remained flat with Aframaxes around ws90 @ 80kmt (usd 1,750 p/d) and Suezmaxes at ws54-55 @ 130kmt. In the Mediterranean, Aframaxes tried to work their way and push rates slightly higher but was quite unfortunate, owners still working cross-med cargoes at low ws90 levels @ 80kmt (usd 2,665 p/d), Suezmaxes are being left spot as the scarce availability of cargoes limits the option of picking a cargo without a negative return.
CPP MR east of Suez they are pretty much bottomed out with a lot of Singapore ballasters joining the Fujairah list as they have aggressively been capped by LR1’s that had long tonnage lists trying to kill some time with short voyages, cross AG still stands at below USD 200k levels, (usd170k-180k) and AG/EAFR standing at WS154 @ 35KMT, (tce circa usd 6,500 pdpr) LR’1 & LR2’S freight market continues to soften this week, with TC1(AG/JAPAN) at WS75 and LR1’S dropping below WS90 to Japan. In Med, not much happening on the MRs as mentioned earlier many of the ships are being swept from the market on a private basis without showing the cargoes to the market, cross med cargoes are being fixed at sub ws125 levels and BSEA/MED at WS134-135. Continent still drives the market as the most active in West of Suez, TC stands 37@WS110 (abt 2300 usd/day) with the ARA/WAF at some cases loosing full of its premium points, despite owner’s preference to pick voyages with WAF options as the demurrage improves their returns.”
By Dimitris Kourtesis,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 11 July 21
COAL SHOWS ITS STAYING POWER AS ECONOMIES BOUNCE BACK - THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Coal use is surging in some of the world’s largest economies as electricity demand rebounds from the pandemic, illustrating the challenges to ...
Sunday, 11 July 21
ROBUST CHINA COAL DEMAND AMID AUSTRALIA IMPORT BAN FUELS PRICE RALLY - REUTERS
Seaborne coal has become a quiet winner among energy commodities, lacking the attention of higher-profile crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) ...
Saturday, 10 July 21
OVERESTIMATED LCOES OF COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS CREATE A FINANCIAL BUBBLE - IEEFA
Massive stranded asset risk detrimentally affects the financial and power distribution
India’s future coal-fired power project pipeline ...
Friday, 09 July 21
EIA FORECASTS COAL’S GENERATION SHARE IN U.S TO RISE FROM 20% IN 2020 TO 24% THIS YEAR BUT TO FALL TO 22% NEXT YEAR
The July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) of EIA remains subject to heightened levels of uncertainty related to the ongoing economic recovery from ...
Friday, 09 July 21
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. INVITES BIDS FOR 1.86 MILLION TONS OF COAL OF 5600 & 4000 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 280,000 – 300,000 MT of Min. ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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