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Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of uncertainty regarding eco-friendly technology adoption which amplified concerns over the technology and fuelling choices on the newbuilding units. Covid-19 restrictions significantly impacted owners’ appetite for new orders, which coupled with the divided view on the long-term technology implementation caused a severe blow on the shipbuilding industry. At the time of writing, both concerns are still present.
Despite worldwide vaccination, the pandemic remains with lockdown restrictions being imposed around the world. In addition, there is no clear view on which type of fuel will be the next generation one, yet with LNG retrofits gaining a bigger market share week by week. However, today the shipbuilding tanker market activity witness a completely different outlook, with the volume of newbuilding contracts emerging w-o-w being significantly strong and the NB values at levels that we last observed back in 2015. With respect to the latter fact, we could agree that the recent spike in steel prices has supported a large part of newbuilding value increases; nevertheless, with the cost for new investments burdening the owner’s capital, it is evident that the appetite for new vessels is strong.
According to our preliminary data, YTD crude carriers contracting activity in dwt terms is estimated at around 9.6 million which is about +47.7% when compared to the same period last year (6.5 million dwt). The majority of orders that have materialized so far this year referred to VLCC units which account for 71% of the total orders (27 of the total tanker contracting activity of 38 units). If buying interest for crude carrier tonnage continues at the same pace it would not be a surprise to see 2021 contracting activity doubling the previous year volumes (around 15.4 million in dwt terms during 2020). Solely for the purpose of comparison, 2019 total contracting activity is estimated at around 19.6 million dwt with January-May 2019 newbuilding volume at 7.45 million dwt, a time period where the Coronavirus pandemic would stand as a science fiction theory.
As far as the asset values are concerned, average prices for VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax units to be constructed at top tier yards are estimated at $95.0M, $63.M, and $50.5 million respectively. A picture is worth a thousand words and that can be evident if we take a closer look at page 6 Indicative Newbuilding Prices table where a comparison with average values of the past 3 years can easily be made. Average prices of all sectors are hovering well below today’s values. Again, for the sake of clarity, 2021 average VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax newbuilding prices stand at $90.0M, $59.5M, and $49.0 million. It remains to be seen, whether Chinese authorities will manage to curb iron ore prices and subsequently steel values. Such a depreciation on the respective commodities will be reflected on newbuilding values as well; however, if China’s exertion in containing steel prices remains unsuccessful newbuilding prices will appreciate further according to the underlying steel inflationary trend.
By Yiannis Parganas,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Tanker S&P is finally back!
For an extended period, Dry bulk & Wet market rates have been diverging, with the SnP deals on each sect ...
Monday, 10 May 21
PAKISTAN: COAL GASIFICATION AND LIQUEFACTION HARMFUL TO ECONOMY - IEEFA
There is no second life for coal
Pakistan’s intention to use coal for power production through gasification and liquefaction technologie ...
Sunday, 09 May 21
HERE'S WHY INVESTORS ARE POURING MONEY INTO COAL, DESPITE ITS BLEAK FUTURE - FORBES
Coal stocks have surged this year – along with the wider energy sector – but experts warn these are likely short-term gains for an indu ...
Sunday, 09 May 21
MAYBANK TO STOP COAL FINANCING - BERNAMA
Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank) will stop financing new coal activities as part of its sustainable agenda.
Currently, coal financing m ...
Saturday, 08 May 21
LNG-TO-POWER INVESTORS IN THE PHILIPPINES RISK EXPOSURE TO $14 BILLION IN STRANDED ASSETS - IEEFA
High regulatory and financial uncertainty in the Philippines market
The race to develop liquified natural gas (LNG) facilities in th ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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