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Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of uncertainty regarding eco-friendly technology adoption which amplified concerns over the technology and fuelling choices on the newbuilding units. Covid-19 restrictions significantly impacted owners’ appetite for new orders, which coupled with the divided view on the long-term technology implementation caused a severe blow on the shipbuilding industry. At the time of writing, both concerns are still present.
Despite worldwide vaccination, the pandemic remains with lockdown restrictions being imposed around the world. In addition, there is no clear view on which type of fuel will be the next generation one, yet with LNG retrofits gaining a bigger market share week by week. However, today the shipbuilding tanker market activity witness a completely different outlook, with the volume of newbuilding contracts emerging w-o-w being significantly strong and the NB values at levels that we last observed back in 2015. With respect to the latter fact, we could agree that the recent spike in steel prices has supported a large part of newbuilding value increases; nevertheless, with the cost for new investments burdening the owner’s capital, it is evident that the appetite for new vessels is strong.
According to our preliminary data, YTD crude carriers contracting activity in dwt terms is estimated at around 9.6 million which is about +47.7% when compared to the same period last year (6.5 million dwt). The majority of orders that have materialized so far this year referred to VLCC units which account for 71% of the total orders (27 of the total tanker contracting activity of 38 units). If buying interest for crude carrier tonnage continues at the same pace it would not be a surprise to see 2021 contracting activity doubling the previous year volumes (around 15.4 million in dwt terms during 2020). Solely for the purpose of comparison, 2019 total contracting activity is estimated at around 19.6 million dwt with January-May 2019 newbuilding volume at 7.45 million dwt, a time period where the Coronavirus pandemic would stand as a science fiction theory.
As far as the asset values are concerned, average prices for VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax units to be constructed at top tier yards are estimated at $95.0M, $63.M, and $50.5 million respectively. A picture is worth a thousand words and that can be evident if we take a closer look at page 6 Indicative Newbuilding Prices table where a comparison with average values of the past 3 years can easily be made. Average prices of all sectors are hovering well below today’s values. Again, for the sake of clarity, 2021 average VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax newbuilding prices stand at $90.0M, $59.5M, and $49.0 million. It remains to be seen, whether Chinese authorities will manage to curb iron ore prices and subsequently steel values. Such a depreciation on the respective commodities will be reflected on newbuilding values as well; however, if China’s exertion in containing steel prices remains unsuccessful newbuilding prices will appreciate further according to the underlying steel inflationary trend.
By Yiannis Parganas,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
“While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving fo ...
Monday, 14 June 21
'WISHFUL THINKING': WHY CHINA NEEDS AUSTRALIAN IRON ORE FOR 'MANY YEARS' TO COME - YAHOO FINANCE AU
A “wintry period”.
That’s what’s expected to happen to Australia’s economy “when” China st ...
Sunday, 13 June 21
COAL AND LNG’S SURGE IN ASIA PLAYS INTO RENEWABLE ENERGY HANDS - REUTERS
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) and thermal coal prices in Asia have been roaring ahead in recent months amid strong demand, but while welcome news for ...
Friday, 11 June 21
5 REASONS GLOBAL SHIPPING COSTS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE - ING
No short-term relief
Shipping costs have been growing strongly since the autumn of 2020, but the first months of this year have seen a new surg ...
Friday, 11 June 21
ASIA COAL PRICES SURGE, BUT CHINA-AUSTRALIA DISPUTE MEANS RALLY IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices across Asia have surged to multi-year highs amid strong demand and some supply constraints, but some types of the fuel have don ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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