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Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of uncertainty regarding eco-friendly technology adoption which amplified concerns over the technology and fuelling choices on the newbuilding units. Covid-19 restrictions significantly impacted owners’ appetite for new orders, which coupled with the divided view on the long-term technology implementation caused a severe blow on the shipbuilding industry. At the time of writing, both concerns are still present.
Despite worldwide vaccination, the pandemic remains with lockdown restrictions being imposed around the world. In addition, there is no clear view on which type of fuel will be the next generation one, yet with LNG retrofits gaining a bigger market share week by week. However, today the shipbuilding tanker market activity witness a completely different outlook, with the volume of newbuilding contracts emerging w-o-w being significantly strong and the NB values at levels that we last observed back in 2015. With respect to the latter fact, we could agree that the recent spike in steel prices has supported a large part of newbuilding value increases; nevertheless, with the cost for new investments burdening the owner’s capital, it is evident that the appetite for new vessels is strong.
According to our preliminary data, YTD crude carriers contracting activity in dwt terms is estimated at around 9.6 million which is about +47.7% when compared to the same period last year (6.5 million dwt). The majority of orders that have materialized so far this year referred to VLCC units which account for 71% of the total orders (27 of the total tanker contracting activity of 38 units). If buying interest for crude carrier tonnage continues at the same pace it would not be a surprise to see 2021 contracting activity doubling the previous year volumes (around 15.4 million in dwt terms during 2020). Solely for the purpose of comparison, 2019 total contracting activity is estimated at around 19.6 million dwt with January-May 2019 newbuilding volume at 7.45 million dwt, a time period where the Coronavirus pandemic would stand as a science fiction theory.
As far as the asset values are concerned, average prices for VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax units to be constructed at top tier yards are estimated at $95.0M, $63.M, and $50.5 million respectively. A picture is worth a thousand words and that can be evident if we take a closer look at page 6 Indicative Newbuilding Prices table where a comparison with average values of the past 3 years can easily be made. Average prices of all sectors are hovering well below today’s values. Again, for the sake of clarity, 2021 average VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax newbuilding prices stand at $90.0M, $59.5M, and $49.0 million. It remains to be seen, whether Chinese authorities will manage to curb iron ore prices and subsequently steel values. Such a depreciation on the respective commodities will be reflected on newbuilding values as well; however, if China’s exertion in containing steel prices remains unsuccessful newbuilding prices will appreciate further according to the underlying steel inflationary trend.
By Yiannis Parganas,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 July 21
WHY INDIA’S SOLAR POWER TARIFFS ARE CLIMBING AFTER HITTING RECORD LOWS LAST YEAR - IEEFA
What’s behind the recent increase?
Solar tariffs are deflationary. Prices have fallen by 75% in seven years in India, and in 2 ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
END TO COAL POWER BROUGHT FORWARD TO OCTOBER 2024
Press Release: The deadline to phase out coal from Great Britain's energy system has been brought forward by a whole year, highlighting the UK& ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
WHY BUILD 600 NEW UNPROFITABLE COAL PLANTS? - DEUTSCHE WELLE
Governments in Asia are planning 600 new coal plants that could lose investors $150 billion and derail efforts to limit temperature rise in line wi ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
FIVE ASIAN COUNTRIES ACCOUNT FOR 80% OF NEW COAL POWER INVESTMENT - THE GUARDIAN
Five Asian countries are jeopardising global climate ambitions by investing in 80% of the world’s planned new coal plants, according to a rep ...
Wednesday, 30 June 21
DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR RECORDED AN IMPROVED REVENUE IN Q1 2021; REVENUE INCREASED BY 49% QOQ TO US$160 MILLION ON THE BACK OF COAL PRICE RECOVERY
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. (“DOID”) released its consolidated financial and operating results that include its primary and wholly-owned ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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