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Wednesday, 28 April 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Despite the current challenges as a result of the global pandemic, 2021 is turning out to be a landmark year for the iron ore market with spot prices for the steel making commodity last week surpassing their February 2011 high of $US188 per tonne. Better Chinese steel prices have also allowed iron ore prices to float higher recently and they appear well supported by rising steel production in the Asian nation. Market experts support that prices could keep climbing and continue to believe that iron ore prices will stay elevated as long as steel mill margins in the world’s largest consumer, China, remain high. From a maritime perspective for seaborne transportation demand, we are overall very glad to see such strong fundamentals leading and driving these important markets, in what appears to be a broad positive sentiment for a key ingredient carried predominantly by Capesizes and very large ore carriers. The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index that tracks rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities extended gains, rising to its highest since late 2010 on Thursday as Capesize rates jumped on strong Chinese iron ore demand. The Capesize market last week reached rate levels equivalent of last year’s highs. The 5TC rose $6,242 to settle at the end of the week at $34,762.
Looking further down the supply chain and at the steel production level, Chinese steel plants are also very active and currently receiving around $US780 per tonne for their steel reinforcing bar product which is used in construction projects for everything from bridges and buildings to infrastructure. This price for the end product, represents a 12-year high and low inventory levels in China are in general adding to the upward pressure on prices for steel products including rebar and hot rolled coil. Prices of rebar and hot-rolled coil in China, the world’s top steel producer, also continued the momentum and rose to record highs last week, underpinned by strong demand.
In the meantime we did notice reports of Beijing taking drastic actions to curb steel production to tackle air pollution around its industrial centres, which raised certain concerns in the market on what the actual effect might be ultimately. However, at least at the moment these actions seem quite unrealistic and perhaps linked to short-term pollution related issues. Furthermore there are headlines regarding China capping its steel production due to the high price of iron ore, but again it is only reasonable and evident that these steel mills are going to continue to produce a lot of steel if they can still sell it and generate good profits on it even though prices of the raw iron ore ingredient are high at around $US180 per tonne. This is another testament that the market dynamics for steel in China is pretty robust at the moment. A lot of the country’s steel production finds its way into the domestic local market where it is used in heavy construction and development for new cities and transport infrastructure that links these together. As a matter of fact, China’s government has set ambitious targets in its latest five-year plan, including a pledge to build 160 new airports and 32,000km of high-speed railway by 2035.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global ec ...
Friday, 18 December 20
AUSTRALIA PM WARNS OF ‘LOSE-LOSE’ IN ANY CHINA COAL SHIFT - REUTERS
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said any shift by China away from importing high quality Australian coal would be a “lose-lose&rdquo ...
Friday, 18 December 20
BIG OIL AND COAL EXPORTERS FACE RECKONING AS PARIS AGREEMENT TURNS FIVE - CNA
On Dec 12, more than 70 global leaders came together at the UN’s Climate Ambition Summit, marking the fifth anniversary of the Paris Agreemen ...
Friday, 18 December 20
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL EXPORTERS LARGELY DEPENDENT ON THE ASIAN MARKETS - BANCHERO COSTA
South Africa is the fourth largest exporter of coal in the world, after Australia, Indonesia and Russia. In calendar 2019 the country exported a to ...
Thursday, 17 December 20
CHINA'S BAN IS LESS OF A THREAT TO AUSTRALIA'S COAL INDUSTRY THAN INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE AMBITION - IEEFA
Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds
The decision by Ch ...
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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