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Saturday, 06 March 21
AUSTRALIAN COAL: SOME WEAKNESS COULD MATERIALIZE AFTER THE WINTER - ING
ing-logoNewcastle coal prices remain well supported for now, however as we move out of the winter months we would expect prices to come under pressure. Meanwhile, domestic thermal coal prices in China have fallen, and so these weaker prices should weigh on the seaborne market, says  ING.
 
According to ING, Newcastle coal will average US$70/t over 2021, although ING suspects the highs are behind us for the year already, with the much colder weather seen this winter having proved supportive for demand. The key risk for the coal market remains the tensions between China and Australia, and price action will also depend on how this situation develops.
 
AUD has been impacted more by iron ore prices than by coal prices, and this should continue to be the case moving on. As highlighted above, dynamics in the coal market will be heavily dependent on the China-Australia tensions (China moved to ban Australian coal in 2020). Any developments in the trade relationship between the two countries would likely impact AUD sentiment directly, and only partially through the coal channel, further said ING.
 
Despite South Africa’s coal rents amounting to approximately 2.4% of GDP (the third highest in the world), coal prices have not had a significant correlation with ZAR recently. This may suggest that only wide moves in coal prices may have a tangible impact on the currency, which is by the way showing some nominal and real undervaluation.  ING sees ZAR as one of the most vulnerable EM currencies to rising UST yields given as its fundamentals not show material improvement vs most of its EM peers.


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Wednesday, 03 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
"2020 the year from hell for the entire world, had everything for shipowners. The introduction of the sulphur cap and VLSFO, a Pandemic outbre ...


Tuesday, 02 February 21
WILL THE ELECTRONIC B/L BE FULLY IMPLEMENTED? FIVE POINTS TO CONSIDER - MOL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE The trend towards digitization of Bills of Lading (B/L) has begun to attract attention in the trade and shipping industrie ...


Monday, 01 February 21
A 56,000-DWT OPEN MANILA WAS FIXED FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA AT $11,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize The Capesize routes endured a week of slippage on rates, bringing the market back down to levels seen at the beginning of the month. D ...


Monday, 01 February 21
PAKISTAN: COAL DEMAND EXPECTED TO SPIKE IN 2021 - DAWN
Coal demand is expected to remain upbeat in 2021 as more coal-fired and captive power plants are coming up in the current year.   Acco ...


Friday, 29 January 21
COAL EXPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA TO MAINLAND CHINA DECLINED BY -22.2% Y-O-Y IN 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
In the 12 months of 2020, global seaborne coal trade declined by as much as -12.7% year-on-year, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv, ...


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