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Wednesday, 20 January 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 While 2020 is finally behind us, its negative impacts are still hovering over the shipping market. That being said, it is still too early to even speculate that 2021 will be a better year, even if the bar is set too low given to “what went down” last year.
The reality is that positive signs especially for the dry bulk market were seen as early as last summer when the market was slowly showing signs of better days to come. It took some time for shipowners to assimilate the possibility that we are heading towards better days - and nobody can blame them for being sceptical - but the increase on second hand transactions is the most obvious vote of confidence.
If we make a comparison between the number of transactions that materialized during the second half of 2019 and 2020, it is clear that despite the market challenges and uncertainty, investors' confidence remained strong during 2H2020 with second hand deals being up by 18% compared to last year transactions with the most notable acceleration taking place during December.
Of course, this is not the first time that the dry bulk transactions have experienced increased activity. What makes this period different compared to the previous time in my opinion is that it's not only sentiment driven.
Dry Bulk commodity prices have recently experienced an inflection to multi-year highs, amid increased demand after the market got used to a COVID-19 reality. The weather played its part with record low temperatures which favoured coal demand but also created congestion at discharging ports, on top of China’s coal import restrictions from Australia.
Adding to this mix the fact that we expect fleet growth to remain subdued in the next 2 years, it does not take much for the demand - supply balance to improve.
So now we have a perfect storm and this time the storm is working for the market’s favor. It has been a while since the last time this has happened.
It's normal to expect that eventually new building contracting activity will increase but this will only start taking place once second hand values reach levels that are not sustainable. For now, second hand vessels make sense, and let's hope that owners will not rush to NBs as they have done in the past.
Not leaving sentiment out of the equation, we could also speculate that the positive effect expected by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership which is expected to largely influence the container market will rub off to the dry market as well.
Overall, things are looking up and if the order book stays in check the market will do more than just ok in the years to come.
By Timos Papadimitriou,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 10 February 21
FY21 COAL DEMAND MAY BE LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED DUE TO COVID-19: PRALHAD JOSHI - PTI
Coal demand in the current fiscal may be lower than the initial estimate of 1,085 million tonnes (MT) due to the impact of COVID-19, Parliament was ...
Wednesday, 10 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
We have just entered February, Chinese New Year holidays are about to start and the SnP market for bulkers is so hot as every seller would dream of ...
Tuesday, 09 February 21
SWITCHING COAL PLANTS TO PLN'S BIOMASS COFIRING PLAN IS NO MAGIC BULLET - IEEFA
Implementation risks for Indonesia PLN's switch from coal to biomass cofiring
PLN’s biomass cofiring plan will require not ...
Friday, 05 February 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR FEBRUARY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 87.79 PER TON FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for February 2021 settles at US$ 87.79 per ton FOB vessel. The February reference price is the hig ...
Thursday, 04 February 21
WHY BANGLADESH SHOULDN’T COUNT ON A FOSSIL FUEL FUTURE - IEEFA
Around US$50 billion of LNG projects in Asia at risk of cancellation
Two astonishing figures have circulated in the Asian energy sector in the ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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