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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Saturday, 16 January 21
SEABORNE TRADE IN STEAM COAL DECREASED BY 11.6% FROM 937 MILLION TONNES IN 2019 TO 828 MILLION TONNES IN 2020 - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), global hard coal production dec ...
Friday, 15 January 21
OVER US$50 BILLION IN GAS POWER PROJECTS AND LNG IMPORT FACILITIES AT RISK OF CANCELLATION IN BANGLADESH, PAKISTAN AND VIETNAM - IEEFA
Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports
Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh tha ...
Friday, 15 January 21
VIETNAM'S EXTRAORDINARY ROOFTOP SOLAR SUCCESS DEALS ANOTHER BLOW TO THE REMAINING COAL PIPELINE - IEEFA
9.3 gigawatts peak of solar capacity, equal to 6 coal power plants, installed in less than a year
Vietnam’s solar power indust ...
Friday, 15 January 21
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 14 January 21
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITED BIDS FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL FOR THREE YEARS SUPPLY
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, issued an International tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Min.5,700 kcal/kg NCV coal of Australian Origin ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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