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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Thursday, 27 May 21
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.56 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) has issued an international tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Bituminous Coal to be used a ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-COVID-19 LEVELS; THERMAL OUTPUT STRONG - FITCH RATINGS
Rising Consumption: Total power consumption rose by 21.2% yoy to 1,921.9GWh in 1Q21 due to the fast recovery of China’s economy, after a drop ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA'S POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS; RENEWABLES TO DRIVE DEVELOPMENT - FITCH RATINGS
China's power consumption exceeded the pre-Covid-19 levels in 1Q21 due to the country's fast economic recovery, with strong output from the ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR MAY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 89.74 PER TON
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for May 2021 settles at US$ 89.74 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pric ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of un ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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