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Wednesday, 23 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Undoubtedly, this year (ongoing) will never be forgotten because in a matter of months it has managed to severely affect and shape our day to day personal and professional lives. All industrial markets have been influenced by the coronavirus pandemic and the tanker market is no exception. The spread of COVID-19 coupled with the IMO 2020 regulations have caused noticeable fluctuations in bunker prices and trading habits. On the 6th of January, VLSFO prices in Fujairah were as high as USD 790/mt and fell to below USD 200/mt in a mere 3-month period. WTI followed a similar pattern as it hovered at just above USD 60/barrel in early January and saw “negative” rates on the 20th of April; it has never fully rebounded (to date) back to its to pre-lockdown price levels. Oil trading houses took conservative approaches in minimizing their risk exposures owing to the mounting uncertainty and investor ambiguity that had resulted from the initial COVID-19 outbreak. Many projects were paused while trading activity was kept to a minimum.
The trading lag created an environment that allowed for contango opportunities; many traders/oil majors attempted to capitalize on this by securing VLCC/Suezmax vessels for T/C periods of up to 6 months. Due to the oil surplus in the market, shore tanks were nearing their maximum storage capacities and suppliers were keen to sell at low rates to ensure the continued and sound operations of refineries. The temporary shutdown and reopening of a refinery costs millions of dollars which places a rather hefty (almost unbearable) financial burden on the respective supplier. Throughout the period of the storage craze, some of the highest freight rates of the last decade were observed. Freights were boosted by a plethora of parameters such as market sentiment, bullish owners and prolonged wait times of ships during loading/discharging owing to the profound lack of storage.
In general - with the exception of VLCC’s who have benefited from the overall increased demand for storage - crude tankers have not managed to improve their performance in the last 3 months. Aframax and Suezmax vessels are still committed to sluggish markets which are heavily affected by seasonal patterns. Historically, summer months were always depressed in terms of trading activity. However, current imminent fears of further regional/nationwide lockdowns are further weakening sentiment in the oil trade. On the clean side, we’ve seen tonnage lists with many prompt ships around loading areas with MR’s overcoming LR1’s. At the same time, LR2’s seem to be patiently waiting for MR’s to get busier, after which they expect to receive loading enquiries from charterers. On Monday we saw WTI & BRENT enter a steep fall, which may be a direct result of further country-wide imposed COVID-19 related restrictions due to the fear of another wave. On a more positive supply-side note, Libyan exports are now back on the table and are rumored to see increases of ca. 300%!
A glimpse of light is anticipated by owners as we move towards the end of the year. It is widely hoped that traders will push to complete their programs by the close of the year to meet their minimal annual objectives. Nevertheless, the uncertain atmosphere in the tanker sector is expected to project well into the fourth quarter; a potential coronavirus vaccine is the only factor which seems capable of “straightening out” the rather mixed present sentiment.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 10 February 21
FY21 COAL DEMAND MAY BE LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED DUE TO COVID-19: PRALHAD JOSHI - PTI
Coal demand in the current fiscal may be lower than the initial estimate of 1,085 million tonnes (MT) due to the impact of COVID-19, Parliament was ...
Wednesday, 10 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
We have just entered February, Chinese New Year holidays are about to start and the SnP market for bulkers is so hot as every seller would dream of ...
Tuesday, 09 February 21
SWITCHING COAL PLANTS TO PLN'S BIOMASS COFIRING PLAN IS NO MAGIC BULLET - IEEFA
Implementation risks for Indonesia PLN's switch from coal to biomass cofiring
PLN’s biomass cofiring plan will require not ...
Friday, 05 February 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR FEBRUARY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 87.79 PER TON FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for February 2021 settles at US$ 87.79 per ton FOB vessel. The February reference price is the hig ...
Thursday, 04 February 21
WHY BANGLADESH SHOULDN’T COUNT ON A FOSSIL FUEL FUTURE - IEEFA
Around US$50 billion of LNG projects in Asia at risk of cancellation
Two astonishing figures have circulated in the Asian energy sector in the ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
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