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Wednesday, 23 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Undoubtedly, this year (ongoing) will never be forgotten because in a matter of months it has managed to severely affect and shape our day to day personal and professional lives. All industrial markets have been influenced by the coronavirus pandemic and the tanker market is no exception. The spread of COVID-19 coupled with the IMO 2020 regulations have caused noticeable fluctuations in bunker prices and trading habits. On the 6th of January, VLSFO prices in Fujairah were as high as USD 790/mt and fell to below USD 200/mt in a mere 3-month period. WTI followed a similar pattern as it hovered at just above USD 60/barrel in early January and saw “negative” rates on the 20th of April; it has never fully rebounded (to date) back to its to pre-lockdown price levels. Oil trading houses took conservative approaches in minimizing their risk exposures owing to the mounting uncertainty and investor ambiguity that had resulted from the initial COVID-19 outbreak. Many projects were paused while trading activity was kept to a minimum.
The trading lag created an environment that allowed for contango opportunities; many traders/oil majors attempted to capitalize on this by securing VLCC/Suezmax vessels for T/C periods of up to 6 months. Due to the oil surplus in the market, shore tanks were nearing their maximum storage capacities and suppliers were keen to sell at low rates to ensure the continued and sound operations of refineries. The temporary shutdown and reopening of a refinery costs millions of dollars which places a rather hefty (almost unbearable) financial burden on the respective supplier. Throughout the period of the storage craze, some of the highest freight rates of the last decade were observed. Freights were boosted by a plethora of parameters such as market sentiment, bullish owners and prolonged wait times of ships during loading/discharging owing to the profound lack of storage.
In general - with the exception of VLCC’s who have benefited from the overall increased demand for storage - crude tankers have not managed to improve their performance in the last 3 months. Aframax and Suezmax vessels are still committed to sluggish markets which are heavily affected by seasonal patterns. Historically, summer months were always depressed in terms of trading activity. However, current imminent fears of further regional/nationwide lockdowns are further weakening sentiment in the oil trade. On the clean side, we’ve seen tonnage lists with many prompt ships around loading areas with MR’s overcoming LR1’s. At the same time, LR2’s seem to be patiently waiting for MR’s to get busier, after which they expect to receive loading enquiries from charterers. On Monday we saw WTI & BRENT enter a steep fall, which may be a direct result of further country-wide imposed COVID-19 related restrictions due to the fear of another wave. On a more positive supply-side note, Libyan exports are now back on the table and are rumored to see increases of ca. 300%!
A glimpse of light is anticipated by owners as we move towards the end of the year. It is widely hoped that traders will push to complete their programs by the close of the year to meet their minimal annual objectives. Nevertheless, the uncertain atmosphere in the tanker sector is expected to project well into the fourth quarter; a potential coronavirus vaccine is the only factor which seems capable of “straightening out” the rather mixed present sentiment.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 18 April 21
INDONESIA LIKELY TO WITNESS 119 OIL AND GAS PROJECTS STARTS ACROSS VALUE CHAIN BY 2025, SAYS GLOBALDATA
Indonesia is expected to witness 119 oil and gas projects commencing their operations across value chain during 2021-2025, accounting for 6% of the ...
Sunday, 18 April 21
WORLDSTEEL RAISES 2021 STEEL DEMAND GROWTH FORECAST TO 5.8% - WORLDSTEEL
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that steel demand wil ...
Sunday, 18 April 21
CHINA'S Q1 COAL OUTPUT RISES 16% ON STRONG DEMAND FOR WINTER HEATING - REUTERS
China’s coal output rose 16% in the first quarter from the same period last year, bolstered by strong demand for winter heating and robust in ...
Wednesday, 14 April 21
INDIA HAS A RECORD LEVEL OF STOCKPILED COAL DAMPENING NEED FOR NEW DOMESTIC MINES - IEEFA
Proposed coal mining expansions at odds with excess supply
India has stockpiled a record 132 million tonnes of coal – enough t ...
Wednesday, 14 April 21
BANGLADESH NEEDS A RENEWABLES FOCUS, NOT A SWITCH FROM 'COAL TO GAS' - IEEFA
Renewables are cheaper and more sustainable than gas imports, and can provide better energy security in developing nations
The emerg ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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