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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 28 June 24
INDIAN POWER STATIONS STOCKED WITH BUMPER COAL SUPPLY AS TRANSPORT WOES EASE - BUSINESS STANDARD
Even as power demand has touched a historic high of 250 gigawatts (Gw) amid sweltering heat this June, India’s power stations are stocked wit ...
Friday, 28 June 24
INDIA'S CY23 COAL USE LARGER THAN NORTH AMERICA, EUROPE COMBINED - THE HINDU
For the first time, India’s coal consumption surpassed that of North America and Europe combined in the calendar year 2023, said Energy Insti ...
Monday, 24 June 24
PLN'S FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY RESTS ON ACCELERATED COAL RETIREMENT AND RENEWABLES DEPLOYMENT - MUTYA YUSTIKA
On 28 May 2024, Indonesia’s national electricity utility, PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), released its financial report for 2023. Althoug ...
Monday, 24 June 24
INDIA'S COAL-BASED POWER DEMAND AT ALL-TIME HIGH, GOVERNMENT SAYS - REUTERS
India’s demand for coal-based power has risen by 7.3% this fiscal year to an all-time high, the government said in a statement on Wednesday.
...
Monday, 24 June 24
CHINA'S COAL INDUSTRY TURNS GREENER THROUGH INNOVATIVE APPROACHES - PEOPLE'S DAILY
At an opencast mine operated by Inner Mongolia Pingzhuang Coal Group Co. Ltd., a subsidiary of CHN Energy Investment Group (CHN Energy), a 14-meter ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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