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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 August 20
A COMBINATION OF DEVELOPMENTS DROVE THE FALLOFF COAL PRICES - CHIEF ECONOMIST’ OFFICE, AUSTRALIA
China, rising domestic production combined with subdued power demand;
India, a lockdown coupled with government directives that fav ...
Monday, 24 August 20
AUSTRALIA'S THERMAL COAL EXPORTS ARE FORECAST TO DROP FROM AN ESTIMATED $20 BILLION IN 2019-20 TO $16 BILLION IN 2020-21: REPORT
Thermal coal spot prices have fallen sharply as the impact of COVID-19 drives a contraction in seaborne trade for only the second time this century ...
Saturday, 22 August 20
REPORT SEES INDIA’S RELIANCE ON THERMAL POWER DROPPING TO 50% IN 2021, 43% IN 2026 - ET ENERGY | IEEFA
India’s dependence on thermal power will reduce to 50 per cent by 2021-22 and 43 per cent by 2026-27 on the back of renewable energy (RE) cap ...
Friday, 21 August 20
323 MILLION ELECTRIC VEHICLES WILL BE ON THE ROADS BY 2040 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to reach 45 million units per year by 2040, with a total global EV stock of 323 million, according to new ...
Friday, 21 August 20
BHP COMMITS TO SELLING ITS THERMAL COALMINES WITHIN TWO YEARS - THE GUARDIAN
Move follows pressure from investors but company stops short of full exit from coalmining
BHP has announced it plans to sell off its ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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