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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 18 September 20
INDIA'S COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT PICKS UP AS INDUSTRIAL USE RISES - REUTERS
India’s coal-fired electricity generation rose 9.4% in the first half of September, provisional government data showed, as demand from indust ...
Friday, 18 September 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 17 September 20
LAST HOPES FOR DEMAND GROWTH SET TO DISAPPOINT THERMAL COAL EXPORTERS - IEEFA
Asian thermal coal exporters are fighting an uphill battle even in new markets
The world’s largest thermal coal exporter is eyeing new m ...
Wednesday, 16 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Another active week in terms of SnP has concluded in the dry bulk market with a diversified array of transactions recorded. Despite the correction ...
Friday, 11 September 20
IMO 2020: A REVIEW OF THE TRANSITION TO VLSFOS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Many predictions were made in the run up to the imposition of the MARPOL 2020 sulphur cap, none of which was that the tra ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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