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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 18 September 20
INDIA'S COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT PICKS UP AS INDUSTRIAL USE RISES - REUTERS
India’s coal-fired electricity generation rose 9.4% in the first half of September, provisional government data showed, as demand from indust ...
Friday, 18 September 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 17 September 20
LAST HOPES FOR DEMAND GROWTH SET TO DISAPPOINT THERMAL COAL EXPORTERS - IEEFA
Asian thermal coal exporters are fighting an uphill battle even in new markets
The world’s largest thermal coal exporter is eyeing new m ...
Wednesday, 16 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Another active week in terms of SnP has concluded in the dry bulk market with a diversified array of transactions recorded. Despite the correction ...
Friday, 11 September 20
IMO 2020: A REVIEW OF THE TRANSITION TO VLSFOS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Many predictions were made in the run up to the imposition of the MARPOL 2020 sulphur cap, none of which was that the tra ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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