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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 27 October 20
PLN STILL REFUSING TO ADAPT, A MOVE WHICH WILL HURT INVESTORS, CONSUMERS, AND THE GOVERNMENT PURSE - IEEFA
Utility’s latest planning report locks PLN into the past
PLN would be better served restructuring its business to address the current en ...
Monday, 26 October 20
'LONG ASCENT' TO RECOVERY OF GLOBAL GROWTH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global economy has so far avoided a “financial catastrophe” but growth projections from the International Monetary Fund’s lat ...
Friday, 23 October 20
SHIPPING LOANS AND COLLATERAL DAMAGE - VICTOR ONYEGBADO, AKABOGU & ASSOCIATES
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Shipping finance transactions are characterised by peculiar risk factors principally on account of the shipping asset&rsq ...
Friday, 23 October 20
WHAT WILL THE 2020 ELECTIONS MEAN FOR US ENERGY? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The 2020 elections present American voters with a choice between two radically different visions for the future of energy. President Donald Trump r ...
Wednesday, 21 October 20
BRAZIL EXPORTED 238.7 MLN TONNES OF IRON ORE IN THE FIRST 9 MONTHS OF 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
Brazil’s iron ore exports have been gradually but steadily recovering following a disastrous winter period of 2019/2020. In the first 9 month ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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