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Wednesday, 19 August 20
INDIA SAW A SHARP DECLINE IN ENERGY COAL IMPORTS IN JANUARY - JUNE 2020; –27 PER CENT YOY - BHP
 Energy coal prices were weak in the second half of financial year 2020, BHP says in its Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
According to BHP, the gCNewc 6000 kcal/kg FOB Newcastle index (hereafter 6000kcal) averaged around $61/t over the half, down from around $68/t in the first half of financial 2020. Prices ranged from a high of around $74/t to a low of around $50/t. That is below the 2015/16 trough in real terms. Based on the Wood Mackenzie operating cost curve, more than half of seaborne supply (comprising all grades of energy coal) was likely experiencing negative margins with 6000kcal prices in the low $50s.
The 5500kcal index averaged around $49/t over the same period, with a high of around $58/t and a low of around $38/t, which was where it closed out the half year.
BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook further noted that, the spread between the spot indexes for gCNewc 6000kcal and 5500kcal reverted to historical average of close to 20 per cent in the second half of financial year 2020, down from around 30 per cent in the 2019 calendar year.
“While not directly relevant to our business, there was a compression of spreads between the lower grades of energy coal (the 5000, 4200 and 3400 gross–as–received29 kcal brackets) as prices traded deep into the cost curve. Supply has been “sticky” in most export jurisdictions, with the exception of Indonesia, where output has been materially lower. Indonesian supply is prominent in these lower quality brackets” says BHP. Developed Asian markets, who are the largest buyers of >5500kcal product, have been weak under the shadow of COVID–19. Japanese imports contracted by –3 per cent YoY in the first half of the 2020 calendar year, while power demand was down -4 per cent YoY, South Korean imports contracted by –11% per cent.
Chinese demand for seaborne energy coal according to BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20, rebounded as lockdowns were lifted, with consumption of coal at coastal power plants back in the normal seasonal range by April 2020. Hydro generation has been inconsistent, along with the weather, with dry conditions early in the year then giving way to floods. The market consensus has been that the 271–281 Mt import inflow registered in calendar years 2017 and 2018 would serve as an informal objective for total coal imports (including metallurgical and lignite) in calendar 2020, rather than assuming that the jump to around 300Mt in 2019 was the new norm. Enforcement of quotas by month and by port, including clamping down on the practice of trading firms clearing customs at one port but discharging at another, have been somewhat effective. Even so, with so much product being forced to clear to China under the Great Lockdown, some provinces and individual ports had already exhausted full year quotas by May.
India saw a sharp decline in energy coal imports in January – June 2020 (–27 per cent YoY). Power demand declined by –7 per cent YoY in the same period, while domestic coal output was quite resilient, at –3 per cent YoY.
Demand from the Atlantic and Mediterranean regions was weak in advance of COVID–19 and lockdowns have deepened the malaise. In calendar 2019, the weakness reflected commercially driven coal–to–gas switching in parts of Europe, where relatively cheap pipeline gas and LNG imports, plus a steep rise in the price of European Carbon Allowances (ECAs)30, have driven generator behaviour. In calendar 2020 to date, all of these factors have remained in place and in some instances they have been amplified by COVID–19: and demand for power itself has now fallen sharply. Renewables have been able to take a larger share of that shrinking pie BHP concluded in its latest Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
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Friday, 14 August 20
EIA: COAL PLANTS UNECONOMICAL IN MOST REGIONS - IEEFA
U.S. coal power generation plunged by 30 percent in the first half of 2020 off an already-depressed base, shoved out by natural gas and renewables ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDIA SHOULD RECORD A SLIGHT DECREASE IN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS, REACHING A VOLUME OF 167 MILLION TONS BY THE END OF 2020 - ASSOCARBONI
Regarding 2020 thermal coal imports forecasts, Vietnam’s coal imports showed a very strong growth in the first half of 2020 and it is believe ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDONESIA REMAINS THE LARGEST EXPORTER OF COAL IN THE WORLD - ASSOCARBONI
According to the last Assocarboni data for 2019, Indonesia remains the largest exporter in the world. Thermal coal exports have in fact reached 456 ...
Wednesday, 12 August 20
VIETNAM WAS THE PROTAGONIST OF A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 - ASSOCARBONI
The latest Assocarboni data for 2019 also provide a detailed picture on the trend of the global coal import.
According to Assocarbon ...
Wednesday, 12 August 20
THE COAL MARKET IN ITALY - ASSOCARBONI
Italy, which in 2019 reported a decrease in thermal coal imports, with a volume of 7,5 million tons (-32% compared to 11 million tons in 2018), whi ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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