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Saturday, 01 August 20
SHIP SHAPE - OUCH: FIS
 Thursday afternoon saw a report that US GDP in Q2 shrank by 32.9%. Now this may have beaten expectations, but it’s a bit like saying that you didn’t come last in the 38,000-person London Marathon, you came second last. That kind of incredible fall is the reason for the huge drops in demand for commodities and transport around the world. If you add that to German GDP data which reported a fall of 10.1% and lower growth rate than China at 3.2%, it does not make pretty reading.
The markets, of course, did not react particularly enthusiastically to the release of this news, adding further concern to the increasingly bleak world economic picture of a growing resurgence in the virus. European and American stock markets both fell – at the time of writing the FTSE 100 was off nearly 3% and the Dow Jones nearly 2% – with crude markets also selling off in the afternoon session.
If the apprehension of the hard facts from lockdowns across the world isn’t your thing, it’s probably best not to look at any of the news pages. Worldwide virus cases now stand at 17 million with over 660,000 deaths. Infection rates are spiking in some US states and South America is still struggling to contain the first wave of the virus. Things are looking so bad in the United States that is has prompted the President to suggest that November’s election should be postponed. If this says more about the situation in the US or more about the incumbent’s poll ratings is up for debate, but it is adding even more uncertainty to an out of control outbreak.
But don’t let that cheer you up too much. Whenever you are feeling down, just think about the iron ore market. Prices are still holding strong above the $100 mark with hopes of further Chinese government stimulus. Beijing is aiming to issue special local government bonds by the end of October as a stimulus for renewed infrastructure projects. Brazil is really doing its best – and largely succeeding – in increasing ore production, with hopes still alive for Vale to make its ambitious production target.
The dry freight markets may have received a bit of a hammering after their rise above the $30,000 per day, but late this week it has seen a bit of a resurgence on the Capes from around $16,500 back upwards towards the $20,000 level with people getting in fixtures before Friday’s Singapore holiday.
Oil markets had been plodding along in the $43 to $45 bracket for some time now, but that has shunted lower into a $42-44 range. Producers of gasoil and jet fuel would be particularly downhearted this week, with Thursday alone dealing out gasoil losses of nearly $30 per tonne from high to low. Fuel oil markets were less hard hit with VLSFO falling $17 from London opening Thursday and HSFO down $5, with crude down 1.2%. As has been noted several times, the airline industry’s slow comeback and the oversupply of products in the market, coupled with still relatively high refinery utilisation means that there isn’t any place for this product to go. All there is to do is sit and hope for as swift return of demand as possible.
As NASA launched its Perseverance rover from Cape Canaveral this week, blasting up into space on its seven-month journey to Mars, here back on earth things have been more of a sullen drop. Perhaps when the rover returns it may need to search for life amongst the markets on Earth. Ever the optimist, there is only really one way to go from here, but ouch, that’s one hell of a hit to the economy and one long journey back to normality.
Source: Freight Investor Services
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Friday, 10 July 20
GLOBAL SHIPPING EARNINGS FORECAST CUT AS SUPPLY SET TO OUTSTRIP DEMAND - MOODY'S
EBITDA forecast worsens, keeping outlook negative. We now expect the aggregate EBITDA of rated shipping companies to fall by around 16%-18% in 2020 ...
Friday, 10 July 20
SLOW RECOVERY IN TANKER RATES TO WEIGH ON BUANA LINTAS LAUTAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings believes that international tanker rates are likely improve after their sharp fall since May 2020, albeit at a slow pace. The weaknes ...
Wednesday, 08 July 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
During the previous month, the dry bulk market witnessed an impressive increase in the BDI index that has reached 1800 points from 500 with a clear ...
Tuesday, 07 July 20
COAL INDIA WORKERS STRIKE CUTS OUTPUT BY 56%: OFFICIAL - REUTERS
A strike at Coal India Ltd cut production by 56% in the three days ending July 4 as workers oppose opening up coal mining to the private sector, a ...
Tuesday, 07 July 20
WHAT DOES THE PATHWAY TO A NET-ZERO ECONOMY LOOK LIKE FOR MINERS? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wind, solar, electric vehicles, stationary storage and transmission are all central to achieving the Paris Agreement decarbonisation goals.
&nb ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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