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Friday, 31 July 20
SHORT-TERM IMPACT ON THE CHEMICAL SHIPPING MARKET IF THE INDIA-CHINA DISPUTE ESCALATES - DREWRY
 Due to the India-China dispute, the threat of deteriorating trade relations between the two countries has become real. Meanwhile, we expect freight rates to decline in 3Q20 on routes from the Middle East/India to China
The India and China border dispute emerged after the military clash between the two countries on 15 June in Ladakh. The scuffle sparked a ‘boycott of Chinese products’ in India, raising concerns about the deterioration of trade between the two countries, with chemicals not being spared. However, if the disputes escalate, the impact on chemical trade is expected to be limited as only a few chemical products such as paraxylene, sulphuric acid, benzene, and ethylene glycol are traded between the two countries, with paraxylene being the largest chemical product exported from India to China.
Paraxylene is used as feedstock to produce purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and dimethyl terephthalate (DMT), which are used in the production of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) polymer for the production of polyester fibres. Meanwhile, demand for polyester will surge with the increasing development of PTA units in China, being one of the biggest importers of paraxylene. China sources its paraxylene requirements from South Korea, India, and Japan. India exported 414,000 tonnes of paraxylene to China in 2Q20, accounting for nearly 50% of Indian exports. Going forward, we expect a 40% fall in Indian paraxylene exports to China in 3Q20 due to the stressed environment. This will translate into a decline in paraxylene trade of about 124,000 tonnes on the Middle East/India to China route, thereby putting pressure on freight rates.
Apart from China, India also exports paraxylene to Indonesia, Malaysia, and to the US in a limited quantity. In 1Q20, before the pandemic, India traded 53% of its total paraxylene exports to China, 16.3% to Indonesia, 12.5% to Malaysia and a mere 6.3% to the US. It will be difficult for India to increase export volumes to these countries as demand is limited. Hence, the Indian export market for paraxylene will be affected in the remainder of 2020.
Indeed, it is clear that as a result of the dispute between the dragon and the elephant, there will be an oversupply of paraxylene in India in 3Q20. With high inventories of paraxylene in India, plants will be forced to cut operating rates. China, on the other hand, will have to source paraxylene from other countries as its demand is likely to pick up in 3Q20. Therefore, we expect freight rates to weaken on routes from the Middle East/India to China in 3Q20.
Source: Drewry
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Wednesday, 21 June 23
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA RECOVER TO PRE-BAN LEVELS - REUTERS
Australian coal sales to China increased in May, as trade resumed between them even as overall coal demand weakened against an uncertain macroecono ...
Monday, 19 June 23
DROUGHT-DEPLETED HYDROPOWER DRIVES CHINA TO TURN TO COAL - REUTERS
China has leant hard on coal-fired power plants as well as wind and solar generators to make up for a shortfall in hydroelectric generation as a re ...
Monday, 19 June 23
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 4.2 PCT IN MAY - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted steady growth in May, official data showed.
The country produced 390 million tonnes of raw coal ...
Wednesday, 24 May 23
AMMONIA-FUELLED BULK CARRIERS WITHIN FIVE YEARS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Within five years, ships powered by clean ammonia could be a feature on the iron ore trade routes between West Australia and East Asia.
A study ...
Tuesday, 23 May 23
CHINA'S APRIL COAL OUTPUT LEAPS 11% ON YEAR, BUT DEMAND DOWNTURN LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in April jumped 11% from the same month a year earlier, boosted by Beijing’s order to increase supply to ensu ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- The University of Queensland
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- MS Steel International - UAE
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