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Friday, 10 July 20
SLOW RECOVERY IN TANKER RATES TO WEIGH ON BUANA LINTAS LAUTAN - FITCH RATINGS
 Fitch Ratings believes that international tanker rates are likely improve after their sharp fall since May 2020, albeit at a slow pace. The weakness in rates may weigh on the financial profile of PT Buana Lintas Lautan Tbk (BULL, B+/Negative), which has around 15% of its fleet capacity earning revenue based on international spot rates.
The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, which is made up from 12 Baltic international routes and mainly for crude oil shipping, has declined to below 500 points, from an average of 1,200 in March-April 2020, and is at its lowest since 2009. The index averaged 855 points in 2019 and around 770 points since 2009. Similarly, the Baltic Clean Tanker Index for refined fuel shipping has fallen to below 400 points from an average of around 1,305 points in April 2020.
The sharp fall in rates follows lower demand for global oil transportation with the OPEC+ alliance announcing in April 2020 an agreement to cut output by 9.7 million barrels per day (mbpd), or 10% of global output, from May 1. The group agreed in June to extend the production cut by one month through the end of July. The cut in output also resulted in a sharp rally in crude oil prices, with Brent price increasing to over USD40 per barrel (bbl) from around USD20/bbl near mid-April. Higher oil prices reduced the demand for floating storage and such tankers were freed, increasing spare capacity and pressuring rates.
Tanker demand has declined sharply since March-April, when Saudi Arabia increased its oil output ahead of the OPEC+ deal to cut production. The effect of increased oil output on tanker rates was compounded by the sharp fall in oil prices, which caused the futures curve to be in contango and incentivised oil storage on land and in tankers.
Demand for tankers is likely to improve from August with a reduction in the OPEC+ cuts to 7.7mbpd until the end of the 2020 and further to 5.8mbpd from January 2021. However, the output cut will continue weighing on tanker rates and improvement in rates is likely to be a gradual process.
Indonesian tanker operators PT Soechi Lines Tbk (B/Stable) and BULL benefit from largely stable rates in the domestic market, which is protected from foreign competition by cabotage laws and dominated by state-owned oil major PT Pertamina (Persero) (BBB/Stable) which is the main revenue driver.
However, BULL’s exposure to international rate volatility has increased this year. BULL had 24 of its 25 ships, or 93% of its fleet capacity, under standard time-charter contracts as of end-2019 while one tanker was part of a pool of ships managed by a pool operator and earned revenue based on international spot rates. The share of BULL’s fleet capacity managed by the pool operator has increased to 14% by end-2Q20 with three out of 33 ships being part of the pool. Additionally, BULL has two ships constituting 10% of its capacity under time-charter contracts with a base rate and upside if international spot rates are higher.
The company said it is seeking to switch the fleet under the pool operator to short-term time charter contracts of three to six months from September 2020 to limit the impact of the fall in tanker rates. Nonetheless, the Negative Outlook on BULL’s rating reflects risks to its financial profile from weak international rates, apart from sustained spending on fleet expansion. We estimate FFO gross leverage to increase to 3.8x in 2021, from 2.9x in 2020 (2019: 4.3x), due to lower international rates and EBITDA. We also assume BULL acquires five more ships for USD100 million in 2021.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Saturday, 18 March 23
HEDGE TO OFFSET LNG VOLATILITY, TRADERS TOLD - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A shift in imports from Asia to Europe led to significant volatility in liquefied natural gas shipping last year, prompting industry experts to urg ...
Friday, 17 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP AROUND 2.17% IN MARCH 2023
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up around 2.17% in March 2023.
According to the new HBA regulation No. 41.K/MB.0 ...
Saturday, 11 March 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Uncertainty over the recovery of Chinese demand, demand destruction in Europe, as well as weather conditions will pivot the LNG market this summer. ...
Wednesday, 08 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE FORMULA HAS OFFICIALLY CHANGED
Indonesian Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources has officially changed the guideline for determining the benchmark price for the sale of coal c ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA'S SEABORNE CRUDE OIL IMPORTS IN 2022 INCREASED BY 11.5% YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
2022 has turned out to be a very positive year for crude oil trade, despite the surging oil prices and risks of economic recession, Banchero Costa ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
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