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Friday, 10 July 20
SLOW RECOVERY IN TANKER RATES TO WEIGH ON BUANA LINTAS LAUTAN - FITCH RATINGS
 Fitch Ratings believes that international tanker rates are likely improve after their sharp fall since May 2020, albeit at a slow pace. The weakness in rates may weigh on the financial profile of PT Buana Lintas Lautan Tbk (BULL, B+/Negative), which has around 15% of its fleet capacity earning revenue based on international spot rates.
The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, which is made up from 12 Baltic international routes and mainly for crude oil shipping, has declined to below 500 points, from an average of 1,200 in March-April 2020, and is at its lowest since 2009. The index averaged 855 points in 2019 and around 770 points since 2009. Similarly, the Baltic Clean Tanker Index for refined fuel shipping has fallen to below 400 points from an average of around 1,305 points in April 2020.
The sharp fall in rates follows lower demand for global oil transportation with the OPEC+ alliance announcing in April 2020 an agreement to cut output by 9.7 million barrels per day (mbpd), or 10% of global output, from May 1. The group agreed in June to extend the production cut by one month through the end of July. The cut in output also resulted in a sharp rally in crude oil prices, with Brent price increasing to over USD40 per barrel (bbl) from around USD20/bbl near mid-April. Higher oil prices reduced the demand for floating storage and such tankers were freed, increasing spare capacity and pressuring rates.
Tanker demand has declined sharply since March-April, when Saudi Arabia increased its oil output ahead of the OPEC+ deal to cut production. The effect of increased oil output on tanker rates was compounded by the sharp fall in oil prices, which caused the futures curve to be in contango and incentivised oil storage on land and in tankers.
Demand for tankers is likely to improve from August with a reduction in the OPEC+ cuts to 7.7mbpd until the end of the 2020 and further to 5.8mbpd from January 2021. However, the output cut will continue weighing on tanker rates and improvement in rates is likely to be a gradual process.
Indonesian tanker operators PT Soechi Lines Tbk (B/Stable) and BULL benefit from largely stable rates in the domestic market, which is protected from foreign competition by cabotage laws and dominated by state-owned oil major PT Pertamina (Persero) (BBB/Stable) which is the main revenue driver.
However, BULL’s exposure to international rate volatility has increased this year. BULL had 24 of its 25 ships, or 93% of its fleet capacity, under standard time-charter contracts as of end-2019 while one tanker was part of a pool of ships managed by a pool operator and earned revenue based on international spot rates. The share of BULL’s fleet capacity managed by the pool operator has increased to 14% by end-2Q20 with three out of 33 ships being part of the pool. Additionally, BULL has two ships constituting 10% of its capacity under time-charter contracts with a base rate and upside if international spot rates are higher.
The company said it is seeking to switch the fleet under the pool operator to short-term time charter contracts of three to six months from September 2020 to limit the impact of the fall in tanker rates. Nonetheless, the Negative Outlook on BULL’s rating reflects risks to its financial profile from weak international rates, apart from sustained spending on fleet expansion. We estimate FFO gross leverage to increase to 3.8x in 2021, from 2.9x in 2020 (2019: 4.3x), due to lower international rates and EBITDA. We also assume BULL acquires five more ships for USD100 million in 2021.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and de ...
Tuesday, 04 August 20
KOEN INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 900K MT OF MIN 5600 NCV COAL FOR 3 YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 260,000 to 300,000 Tons (MT) min. ...
Tuesday, 04 August 20
THE WORLD’S FLEET OF COAL-FIRED POWER STATIONS HAS GOT SMALLER FOR THE FIRST TIME ON RECORD, WITH MORE CAPACITY RETIRED IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2020 THAN THE AMOUNT OPENED - IEA
This is according to the latest Global Coal Plant Tracker (GCPT) results by Global Energy Monitor (GEM), which we completed last month and report f ...
Monday, 03 August 20
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION, WHICH HAS DECLINED SINCE ITS 2007 PEAK, FELL TO ITS LOWEST POINT IN APRIL 2020 - EIA
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) most recent Monthly Energy Review, the United States consumed 6.5 quadrillion ...
Monday, 03 August 20
LOW OIL PRICE AND CORONA VIRUS HIT SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA OIL PRODUCERS - FITCH RATINGS
The collapse in oil prices and the coronavirus shock is worsening the fiscal and external balances of sub-Saharan African oil producers, Fitch Rati ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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