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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 May 20
LUKOIL SHARES LUBRICANT EXPERIENCE AFTER FIRST 100 DAYS OF OPERATION ON VLSFO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
After 100 days of VLSFO operation, LUKOIL Marine Lubricants is sharing recent experience on VLSFO operation with NAVIGO M ...
Wednesday, 29 April 20
OIL CLOSES IN ON PEAK OVERSUPPLY - WOOD MACKENZIE
Are we now deep in the abyss? Up to our necks in it, if the oil price is any guide. Brent has now tested sub-US$20/bbl in this downturn and WTI sub ...
Monday, 27 April 20
INCIDENT INVESTIGATION: SEARCH FOR THE CAUSE, NOT THE VILLAIN - GARD
Incident investigations often conclude with placing the blame for an incident on the crew. Causes of the incidents are usually identified as proced ...
Monday, 27 April 20
A 58,000DWT VESSEL WAS FIXED DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY WC INDIA, AT $4,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The tide turned this week for the Capesize market, as voyage rates registered dramatically falling fuel costs. This was led primarily ...
Sunday, 26 April 20
STRONGER BUNKER PRICES FAIL TO RALLY FREIGHT MARKET - FIS
VLSFO bunker prices rebounded by $22.50 to $229/mt in the port of Singapore but failed to turn around the spot freight market.
Some ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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